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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 31 | 0% | −1 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 26 | 0% | −3 pts | −58 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 31 | 0% | −3 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 15 | 0% | −4 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 22 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | KiernanMeister2 fills | September 30 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,131 | −$135 −3.3% | — |
| 21d |  Parz1vaI3 fills | September 30 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $15,250 | +$1,037 +6.8% | 4 |
| 21d | 0x72f7…b009 | September 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$42 +4.2% | 4 |
| 46d | KiernanMeister | September 30 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$154 +15% | 4 |
| 46d | 0xc4ca…3df3 | August 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,066 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 46d |  neetbets | August 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,485 | +$6 +0.4% | 4 |
| 46d |  aenews22 fills | August 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $146,665 | +$205 +0.1% | 4 |
| 46d | blunderbot | August 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$7 +0.6% | 4 |
| 48d | wannatakemoney | August 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,671 | −$29 −1.7% | — |
| 49d | Parz1vaI2 fills | August 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,785 | +$540 +5.5% | 4 |
| 50d |  ci4ga | August 31 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,281 | −$120 −5.3% | — |
| 50d |  BigMackyG | September 30 | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | +$686 +50% | 6 |
| 50d | Fearless-Rear-Chitchat | August 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | +$111 +9.4% | 5 |
| 50d |  Mitchieboi | August 31 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,823 | −$188 −10% | — |
| 50d | AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee | August 31 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,493 | −$151 −6.0% | — |
| 50d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | August 31 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,307 | −$54 −4.2% | — |
| 50d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | August 31 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,731 | +$239 +6.4% | 4 |
| 50d |  tetrase5 fills | August 31 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $8,777 | +$728 +8.3% | 5 |
| 50d |  Car | August 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,726 | +$274 +5.8% | 4 |
| 50d | Kevindoto | August 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$119 +11% | 5 |
| 50d |  laIaIalala | August 31 | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,353 | −$202 −15% | — |
| 50d | Gaditima4 fills | August 31 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $5,727 | +$2,173 +38% | 4 |
| 50d | laIaIalala | August 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,628 | +$222 +14% | 5 |
| 50d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2 | August 31 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,425 | +$384 +16% | 5 |
| 50d | Mitchieboi | August 31 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,602 | +$409 +26% | 5 |
| 50d | cocococococo2 fills | August 31 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $2,692 | +$928 +34% | 6 |
| 51d |  3648393489047 | August 31 | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,240 | −$1,240 −100% | 6 |
| 51d | aenews2 | August 31 | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $4,112 | +$4,112 +100% | — |
| 51d |  zb85 fills | August 31 | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $14,878 | −$14,878 −100% | 6 |
| 51d |  RainIess | August 31 | SellYes39¢ → 0¢ | $2,361 | +$2,361 +100% | — |
| 52d | Rapid-Jicama2 fills | August 31 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $11,230 | +$7,323 +65% | 6 |
| 52d | aenews2 | August 31 | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $8,010 | −$8,010 −100% | 6 |
| 52d |  0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | August 31 | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,843 | −$1,843 −100% | 6 |
| 52d |  Diplopia2 | August 31 | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,341 | +$1,341 +100% | — |
| 54d | smallf | August 31 | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,949 | +$946 +49% | 4 |
| 68d |  Mr-Krabs | August 31 | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$557 +54% | 4 |
| 93d | Diplopia2 | August 31 | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $1,341 | −$1,341 −100% | 4 |
yen4u12,619 shares
PaddyAlpha8,587 shares0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e058,200 shares
Chrome7,127 shares
Mithrandir.7,080 shares
0x87126,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if another official trailer for GTA VI is released by Rockstar Games or any of its official accounts, including but not limited to Rockstar's official website, YouTube channel, Twitter, or any other official social media platform between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An "official trailer" is defined as a video clearly labelled and marketed as a trailer for the game in question. Teasers, gameplay snippets, or other promotional materials will not qualify for resolution unless explicitly marketed as an official trailer by Rockstar Games. This market will resolve immediately if such an official trailer is released by the expiry date. If no official trailer is released by the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for August 31 means the market gives it about 0%.