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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flyers vs. Lightning | 0% | −34 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Flyers vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5 | 100% | +24 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Flyers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5 | 0% | −53 pts | −57 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Flyers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5 | 0% | −42 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Flyers vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5 | 0% | −23 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | elkk12 | Flyers vs. Lightning | SellLightning>99¢ | $1,210 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Flyers vs. Lightning | BuyLightning>99¢ | $2,913 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 11d | ZXCZASD | Flyers vs. Lightning | SellLightning89¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | −$139 −12% | — |
| 11d | Clawbangers2 fills | Flyers vs. Lightning | BuyLightning83¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$472 +21% | 4 |
| 11d | ferrariChampions2026 | Flyers vs. Lightning | BuyLightning78¢ → 100¢ | $4,718 | +$1,331 +28% | 4 |
| 11d | dabossrealman | Flyers vs. Lightning | BuyLightning73¢ → 100¢ | $5,815 | +$2,121 +36% | 4 |
| 11d | JokerTheClown | Flyers vs. Lightning | BuyFlyers34¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 14 |
| 11d | Dingwin | Flyers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5 | BuyOver54¢ → 0¢ | $1,791 | −$1,791 −100% | 14 |
| 12d | cocococococo | Flyers vs. Lightning | BuyFlyers34¢ → 0¢ | $1,889 | −$1,889 −100% | 12 |
| 12d | Flyers vs. Lightning | BuyFlyers34¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 12 | |
| 12d | viboomchuu | Flyers vs. Lightning | BuyLightning66¢ → 100¢ | $7,096 | +$3,656 +52% | 12 |
| 12d | Flyers vs. Lightning | BuyFlyers35¢ → 0¢ | $1,925 | −$1,925 −100% | 9 |
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 5 at 7:00PM ET: If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Flyers vs. Lightning means the market gives it about 0%.