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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 442d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,645 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 442d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,345 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 442d |  Funfzig3 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $13,983 | +$544 +3.9% | 4 |
| 443d |  CoffeeDespiser | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 443d | Trump20284 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,281 | +$50 +0.5% | 4 |
| 448d |  cy6erpunker | Nothing Ever Happens: July | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | −$72 −6.4% | — |
| 448d | nonkenny904 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,282 | +$341 +6.5% | 4 |
| 455d |  ondra1232 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: July | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,988 | −$396 −13% | — |
| 457d |  BenjarninNetanyahu | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$122 +11% | 4 |
| 457d | stupidgambling0000 | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | +$146 +11% | 4 |
| 459d | ondra123 | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$2,333 +33% | 4 |
| 460d |  0x123452 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: July | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,439 | −$834 −24% | — |
| 460d | Happiness... | Nothing Ever Happens: July | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,004 | −$386 −19% | — |
| 462d | 0x12345 | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,855 | +$562 +20% | 4 |
| 465d | Happiness... | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$390 +20% | 4 |
| 467d |  mr.ozi | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$320 +32% | 4 |
ilovemalort3,057 shares
Frosen1,520 sharesThis market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: -Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire -Xi Jinping is removed from power -The Fed cuts rates -US and Iran agree to a nuclear deal -Israel strikes Iran Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+I.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+July+II.png
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.