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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 506d |  WhiteLivesMatter | Nothing Ever Happens: May | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | −$18 −1.8% | — |
| 507d |  0x547889b207c980f660774D06CD5Ca144377A014 | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,836 | +$41 +2.3% | 4 |
| 508d |  Gumba | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$61 +2.8% | 4 |
| 508d |  Intendant-Jean-Talon | Nothing Ever Happens: May | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | −$55 −4.5% | — |
| 512d | nonkenny902 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,507 | +$116 +4.6% | 4 |
| 513d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,297 | +$181 +5.5% | 4 |
| 513d |  HNIC2 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $13,450 | +$1,263 +9.4% | 4 |
| 513d | bitcoinmaster | Nothing Ever Happens: May | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,357 | −$128 −9.4% | — |
| 518d |  Jakoe | Nothing Ever Happens: May | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | −$101 −8.9% | — |
| 530d | worldeconomy | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $4,987 | +$1,145 +23% | 4 |
| 532d | Jakoe | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$202 +20% | 4 |
| 532d | MojAlaki | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$331 +29% | 4 |
| 532d | Mou-454 | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | +$378 +30% | 4 |
| 534d | Willie555 | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,528 | +$1,019 +67% | 4 |
| 534d | Intendant-Jean-Talon | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$840 +72% | 4 |
| 534d | Azrarn | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $3,304 | +$2,296 +69% | 4 |
| 537d |  mr.ozi | Nothing Ever Happens: May | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | −$898 −81% | — |
| 537d | slight- | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$822 +71% | 4 |
| 538d | mr.ozi2 fills | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $2,771 | +$2,729 +98% | 4 |
| 538d | mr.ozi | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $1,847 | −$1,847 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: -Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire -The next Pope is Black -The Fed cuts rates -India invades Pakistan -Israel or US military action against Iran Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+May+1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+May+2.png
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.