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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −3 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 369d |  1sk | Nothing Ever Happens: October | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,625 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 369d |  classified | Nothing Ever Happens: October | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,206 | +$14 +1.2% | 4 |
| 379d |  scottilicious | Nothing Ever Happens: October | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $3,236 | +$2,070 +64% | 4 |
| 381d | amused85 | Nothing Ever Happens: October | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,288 | −$1,288 −100% | 4 |
71536498201,600 shares
c4-4c801 sharesThis market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by October 31, 2025, 11:59 ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Fed decreased by 50+ bps - US federal government shutdown for 15+ days - TikTok sale announced - Hamas released all Israeli hostages - Obama federally charged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct1.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct2.png https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/neh.oct3.png
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.