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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Adrienne Adams | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Selma Bartholomew | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael Blake | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Cuomo | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brad Lander | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zellnor Myrie | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paperboy Prince | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jessica Ramos | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scott Stringer | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Whitney Tilson | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 451d | WildRumpus | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes>99¢ | $8,571 | −$30 −0.3% | — |
| 454d |  Rasalgethi | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes>99¢ | $2,341 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 455d | juniper | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes>99¢ | $8,231 | −$33 −0.4% | — |
| 455d |  Flipadelphia3 fills | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,138 | +$15 +0.2% | 10 |
| 462d |  humbleBaker | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,066 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 466d | Rasalgethi | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,364 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 466d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f72 | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $9,661 | −$660 −6.8% | — |
| 466d |  ciro2 | Andrew Cuomo | SellNo>99¢ | $6,410 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 467d |  mostobesegoldfish5 fills | Andrew Cuomo | SellNo>99¢ | $26,281 | −$60 −0.2% | — |
| 467d |  scottilicious2 fills | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes>99¢ | $41,941 | −$174 −0.4% | — |
| 470d |  MLBksRETARD2 fills | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,878 | +$22 +0.2% | 10 |
| 471d | Fomology | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes>99¢ | $10,122 | −$41 −0.4% | — |
| 472d | haraya | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes>99¢ | $5,368 | −$21 −0.4% | — |
| 472d |  enderone3 fills | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes>99¢ | $5,996 | −$18 −0.3% | — |
| 473d |  Svarbhanu2 fills | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,139 | +$18 +0.3% | 10 |
| 473d | basslek | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,458 | +$10 +0.3% | 10 |
| 474d | jimmyleewen1 | Andrew Cuomo | SellNo>99¢ | $2,898 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 476d | haraya | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,684 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 476d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f722 fills | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,483 | +$100 +1.5% | 10 |
| 477d | mostobesegoldfish4 fills | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes>99¢ | $47,902 | −$150 −0.3% | — |
| 477d | wilhelmm | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes>99¢ | $4,797 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 478d | borderx | Andrew Cuomo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 478d |  GoriIIa | Andrew Cuomo | SellNo>99¢ | $15,033 | −$29 −0.2% | — |
| 478d | ItsDaJews | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes>99¢ | $1,097 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 478d |  TortugaGorda | Andrew Cuomo | SellNo>99¢ | $3,369 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 478d | Kapii2 fills | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes>99¢ | $15,207 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 479d | Immense-Literate | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes>99¢ | $3,907 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 479d |  xoxoxololxo | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes>99¢ | $1,044 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 479d | InsiderrrZ | Andrew Cuomo | SellNo>99¢ | $3,469 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 479d | petrovic1914 | Andrew Cuomo | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 479d | petrovic1914 | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 479d | slight- | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,780 | +$53 +0.6% | 10 |
| 479d | cigarettes | Andrew Cuomo | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | +$10 +0.7% | 10 |
| 479d |  d1k212 fills | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,617 | +$143 +4.0% | 10 |
| 479d | planetnine | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,663 | +$78 +1.0% | 10 |
| 479d | d1k21 | Andrew Cuomo | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,673 | +$19 +1.1% | 10 |
| 479d | enderone | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,836 | +$200 +1.0% | 10 |
| 479d | spark1 | Andrew Cuomo | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,432 | +$27 +1.1% | 10 |
| 479d | juniper2 fills | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,790 | +$210 +1.4% | 10 |
| 479d | SlavaUkraini4 fills | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $86,181 | +$2,688 +3.1% | 10 |
| 479d | Nuriols65Cuba6 fills | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $30,050 | −$1,335 −4.4% | — |
| 479d |  Prexpect | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,449 | −$89 −3.6% | — |
| 479d |  CMCAM | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,307 | −$223 −4.2% | — |
| 479d | Beneficial-HopeNew account | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,827 | −$96 −5.3% | — |
| 479d | Kapii | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $30,184 | +$1,555 +5.2% | 10 |
| 479d | scottilicious3 fills | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $59,745 | +$3,906 +6.5% | 10 |
| 479d | CMCAM2 fills | Andrew Cuomo | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$144 +2.1% | 10 |
| 479d | xoxoxololxo | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,466 | +$86 +3.5% | 10 |
| 479d | CMCAM3 fills | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$184 +2.0% | 10 |
| 479d | wilhelmm | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,234 | +$118 +5.3% | 10 |
| 479d | Bink_72 fills | Andrew Cuomo | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $5,227 | +$2,772 +53% | 10 |
| 479d | Melody626 | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,963 | +$1,026 +52% | 10 |
| 479d |  GayPride2 fills | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes45¢ → 100¢ | $2,984 | −$3,624 −121% | — |
| 479d | poptree | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$1,098 +99% | 10 |
| 479d | SlavaUkraini | Zohran Mamdani | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | −$1,284 −100% | — |
| 479d | operationcastle2 fills | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $10,684 | +$11,314 +106% | 11 |
| 479d | rabs | Zohran Mamdani | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $2,706 | +$3,661 +135% | 11 |
| 479d | InsiderrrZ | Andrew Cuomo | BuyNo41¢ → 100¢ | $2,344 | +$3,400 +145% | 11 |
| 479d | GayPride | Andrew Cuomo | SellNo31¢ → 100¢ | $1,611 | −$3,650 −227% | — |
| 479d | umniybet1 | Zohran Mamdani | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $1,640 | −$1,640 −100% | 10 |
bulborb11,513 sharesThis market will resolve to the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025. For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to the vote totals recorded in the initial round of ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation, before any candidates are eliminated or vote transfers occur. Only first-choice rankings will be considered. If two or more candidates receive the same number of first-choice votes, the candidate listed first in the certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections will be considered the winner for market resolution. This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the first round of RCV tabulation as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Zohran Mamdani means the market gives it about 100%.