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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | −2 pts | −14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230d | Fabulous-Eponym | Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,050 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 231d |  PaddyAlpha | Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,175 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 231d | Leo-of-Zion | Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,915 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 231d | taemaxx | Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 231d |  TheRealNancyPelosi | Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,772 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 231d | rjpoly | Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,020 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 231d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,865 | +$105 +5.6% | 4 |
| 233d |  Parz1vaI2 fills | Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February? | BuyNo89¢ → 0¢ | $2,487 | −$2,487 −100% | 4 |
| 233d | Kind-Substitution | Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February? | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $1,900 | −$1,900 −100% | 5 |
| 234d | fiso | Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February? | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $3,131 | −$3,131 −100% | 5 |
| 240d | Huludubu | Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February? | BuyYes22¢ → 100¢ | $1,605 | +$5,667 +353% | 7 |
Snow-White3,293 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-march-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during any two-hour period ending between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-march-31-over-40 or through the “Get Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.