Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50-100k | 100% | +32 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <25k | 0% | −9 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25-50k | 0% | −6 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-200k | 0% | −13 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200k+ | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Unknown | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 470d | FunGuy | 200k+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,288 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 470d | FunGuy | 50-100k | SellYes>99¢ | $1,225 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 503d | Reysha | 25-50k | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $13,692 | +$13,692 +100% | — |
| 503d | Reysha | 25-50k | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $13,637 | −$13,637 −100% | 10 |
| 540d |  SagiNahor | <25k | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,252 | −$1,252 −100% | 12 |
| 548d | Balthen | 100-200k | SellYes23¢ → 0¢ | $10,396 | +$10,396 +100% | — |
| 548d | Lythian | 100-200k | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $35,994 | +$10,212 +28% | 10 |
| 553d | Quinver | 50-100k | SellNo63¢ → 0¢ | $17,258 | +$17,258 +100% | — |
| 553d | Quinver | 50-100k | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $17,126 | −$17,126 −100% | 10 |
| 554d | Vaelthos | 50-100k | SellYes39¢ → 100¢ | $15,683 | −$24,530 −156% | — |
| 555d | Vyndros | 50-100k | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $24,128 | −$24,128 −100% | 10 |
| 561d | Pyralis | 50-100k | SellYes37¢ → 100¢ | $22,883 | −$38,630 −169% | — |
| 561d | 3445d | 50-100k | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $38,630 | −$38,630 −100% | 10 |
| 566d | Alvarion | 50-100k | SellYes36¢ → 100¢ | $15,539 | −$27,505 −177% | — |
| 566d | Sylendriel | 50-100k | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $27,548 | −$27,548 −100% | 10 |
| 584d | Nobody230414 fills | 200k+ | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $5,207 | +$1,749 +34% | 10 |
| 584d |  Eridpnc | <25k | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,676 | −$271 −10% | — |
| 586d | Xandrius | 50-100k | SellYes16¢ → 100¢ | $13,837 | −$74,298 −537% | — |
| 587d | Astraevor | 50-100k | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $74,210 | −$74,210 −100% | 10 |
| 587d | Xandrius | 200k+ | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $41,805 | +$41,805 +100% | — |
| 587d | Astraevor | 200k+ | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $73,158 | +$42,966 +59% | 10 |
| 595d |  guy-2 fills | 200k+ | SellYes41¢ → 0¢ | $3,090 | +$3,090 +100% | — |
| 598d | Mythraen | 100-200k | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $11,410 | +$11,410 +100% | — |
| 598d | Mythraen | 50-100k | SellYes14¢ → 100¢ | $10,123 | −$64,863 −641% | — |
| 598d | Nyxorien | 100-200k | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $33,031 | +$11,366 +34% | 10 |
| 598d | 0xf53b…9c48 | 50-100k | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $64,863 | −$64,863 −100% | 10 |
| 601d | Thyrenis | 100-200k | SellYes27¢ → 0¢ | $15,129 | +$15,129 +100% | — |
| 601d | Lioren | 100-200k | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $40,141 | +$15,073 +38% | 10 |
| 611d | poptree | 200k+ | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | −$333 −32% | — |
| 614d | lug | 200k+ | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,639 | −$573 −35% | — |
| 625d | lug2 fills | 200k+ | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $3,320 | +$1,294 +39% | 10 |
| 626d | Nobody230413 fills | 200k+ | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $4,311 | −$1,636 −38% | — |
| 635d | titimiquito | <25k | SellNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,236 | −$706 −57% | — |
| 638d | titimiquito3 fills | <25k | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $4,064 | +$1,481 +36% | 10 |
| 639d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | <25k | SellYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,189 | +$1,189 +100% | — |
| 640d | SkillzThatKillz | 200k+ | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,233 | −$456 −37% | — |
| 644d | kewlintentionz | <25k | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,454 +97% | 10 |
| 652d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | 200k+ | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | −$235 −20% | — |
| 654d | jcooper31232123212 fills | <25k | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $3,808 | −$3,808 −100% | 10 |
| 656d | Eridpnc | <25k | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,902 | +$1,900 +100% | 10 |
| 656d |  cheezzydad | 200k+ | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,278 | +$522 +41% | 10 |
| 664d | titimiquito | 200k+ | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,071 | −$1,071 −100% | 10 |
This is a market on the number of jobs cut by Elon Musk and the impact of Dogecoin in the first six months of their respective actions.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 50-100k means the market gives it about 100%.