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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30–35M | 100% | +4 pts | +80 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <25M | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25–30M | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 35–40M | 0% | −3 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40–45M | 0% | — | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 45–50M | 0% | 0 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50–55M | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 55M+ | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d |  Soni-billi | 30–35M | SellYes>99¢ | $3,395 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 14d | CakeBake6 fills | 30–35M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $12,977 | +$650 +5.0% | 5 |
| 14d | CakeBake3 fills | 35–40M | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,593 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 14d | Webbed-Minnow | 30–35M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,099 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 14d | Barren-Bull-Polliwog | 30–35M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,012 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 16d | CakeBake4 fills | 40–45M | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,464 | +$16 +0.2% | 4 |
| 16d | BetterFish | 25–30M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,076 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | BetterFish | 55M+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,836 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | CakeBake | 50–55M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,188 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 19d | Suirenzirou | 25–30M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,883 | +$117 +4.1% | 4 |
| 19d | BetterFish | 50–55M | BuyNo100¢ | $1,530 | +$8 +0.5% | 4 |
| 19d | BetterFish | 55M+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,832 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 20d |  MrFeast | 25–30M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,943 | +$60 +3.1% | 4 |
Sayem19991,000 sharesSoni-billi595 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 30–35M means the market gives it about 100%.