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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55–57M | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <46M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 46–49M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 49–52M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 52–55M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 57–60M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60M+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220d |  noreasapa2 fills | 55–57M | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,504 | +$22 +0.1% | 4 |
| 220d | idkwhatimdoinggg | 55–57M | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,886 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 220d | loser124 | 55–57M | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,500 | +$29 +0.2% | 4 |
| 220d | olivia120 | 52–55M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 220d |  OraculumNobius | 55–57M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 221d | dscascsac | 55–57M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,956 | −$16 −0.8% | — |
| 221d |  PrincessGlinda3 fills | 55–57M | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,981 | +$20 +0.3% | 4 |
| 221d | trader-44ca33af | 55–57M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,783 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 221d |  lranon2nd | 55–57M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | +$11 +0.7% | 4 |
| 221d |  zhangyu1377 | 55–57M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,181 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 221d |  Sona-billa | 55–57M | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,439 | −$61 −1.8% | — |
| 221d | Sona-billa2 fills | 55–57M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $6,018 | +$679 +11% | 4 |
| 221d | AZwater3 fills | 55–57M | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $7,474 | +$710 +9.5% | 4 |
| 221d | Frozen-HandrailNew account | 55–57M | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | −$145 −5.5% | — |
| 221d |  PicklePredictor | 55–57M | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$157 +8.7% | 4 |
| 221d | 2356234512 fills | 52–55M | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,817 | +$208 +5.5% | 4 |
| 221d |  Xplayer | 55–57M | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,705 | −$292 −7.9% | — |
| 221d |  HeroAbc | 55–57M | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | −$243 −21% | — |
| 221d | sasfafsaget32 | 55–57M | SellNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,560 | +$1,560 +100% | — |
| 221d | MantuGambler | 52–55M | SellYes77¢ → 0¢ | $1,093 | +$1,093 +100% | — |
| 221d | FlyingPlaty | 52–55M | SellNo18¢ → 100¢ | $1,233 | −$5,618 −456% | — |
| 221d | AZwater | 52–55M | SellNo13¢ → 100¢ | $1,326 | −$9,283 −700% | — |
| 221d | booboolover69 | 52–55M | SellYes86¢ → 0¢ | $1,526 | +$1,526 +100% | — |
| 221d | M4624 fills | 55–57M | SellNo85¢ → 0¢ | $8,458 | +$8,458 +100% | — |
| 221d | Sona-billa | 52–55M | SellYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,373 | +$1,373 +100% | — |
| 221d | M4624 fills | 52–55M | SellYes84¢ → 0¢ | $8,269 | +$8,269 +100% | — |
| 221d | Flawed-Chief | 52–55M | SellYes83¢ → 0¢ | $2,061 | +$2,061 +100% | — |
| 221d | AEDE | 52–55M | SellYes69¢ → 0¢ | $2,107 | +$2,107 +100% | — |
| 221d | Close-Sticker | 52–55M | SellYes81¢ → 0¢ | $2,023 | +$2,023 +100% | — |
| 221d | Webbed-MinnowNew account | 55–57M | SellNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,726 | +$1,726 +100% | — |
| 221d | 235623451 | 52–55M | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $2,966 | −$2,966 −100% | 4 |
| 221d |  Waterfall | 55–57M | SellYes51¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | −$1,070 −96% | — |
| 221d | lranon2nd | 55–57M | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,670 | −$797 −30% | — |
| 221d |  p0psicle | 55–57M | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | −$178 −15% | — |
| 221d |  Kamikaze99 | 57–60M | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,074 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 221d | Webbed-MinnowNew account | 55–57M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,339 | −$41 −0.8% | — |
| 221d | damensch | 55–57M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,552 | +$6 +0.4% | 4 |
| 221d | torchSport | 60M+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,120 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | LeyJamesO | 49–52M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,013 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | FlyingPlaty | 55–57M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 221d | say.song.typical | 52–55M | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | −$31 −1.8% | — |
| 221d | prioritygx10 | 52–55M | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,332 | −$24 −1.8% | — |
| 221d | momentav80 | 52–55M | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,265 | −$23 −1.8% | — |
| 221d | tuna-gift | 52–55M | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,546 | −$28 −1.8% | — |
| 221d | prioritygx10 | 52–55M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | +$9 +0.7% | 4 |
| 221d | tuna-gift | 52–55M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | +$11 +0.7% | 4 |
| 221d | say.song.typical | 52–55M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,696 | +$12 +0.7% | 4 |
| 221d | influenz.eth2 fills | 57–60M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,916 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 221d | AZwater3 fills | 52–55M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,242 | +$114 +1.2% | 4 |
| 221d | AZwater | 60M+ | SellNo>99¢ | $15,237 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | shop338 | 52–55M | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,251 | −$23 −1.8% | — |
| 221d | dry-once-laptop | 52–55M | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | −$26 −1.8% | — |
| 221d | shop338 | 52–55M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | +$20 +1.6% | 4 |
| 221d | dry-once-laptop | 52–55M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,430 | +$23 +1.6% | 4 |
| 221d | influenz.eth | 52–55M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,638 | +$17 +1.1% | 4 |
| 221d | Waterfall | 55–57M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,605 | +$46 +1.3% | 4 |
| 221d | token.athlete.loop | 55–57M | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | −$65 −4.7% | — |
| 221d | Elite-Senior | 55–57M | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,438 | −$68 −4.7% | — |
| 221d | matrixIndicate | 55–57M | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | −$66 −4.7% | — |
| 221d | primary-mix | 55–57M | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | −$59 −4.7% | — |
Lavincey150 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 72 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 72 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex, Win $250,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 55–57M means the market gives it about 100%.