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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–55 m | 100% | +72 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <30 m | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30–35 m | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 35–40 m | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40–45 m | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 45–50 m | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 55 m+ | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 453d | Dodor | 50–55 m | SellYes>99¢ | $3,116 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 454d |  lranon2 fills | 50–55 m | SellYes>99¢ | $4,532 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 454d | 0x82c6c1a53290fba0c7a18fc40d2c9206f03f2e5 | 50–55 m | SellYes>99¢ | $2,344 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 454d |  noreasapa2 fills | 55 m+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,674 | +$13 +0.5% | 4 |
| 454d | noreasapa2 fills | 50–55 m | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,021 | +$15 +0.5% | 4 |
| 454d | lranon2 fills | 50–55 m | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,252 | +$1,004 +45% | 4 |
| 454d | noreasapa | 45–50 m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,491 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 454d |  Waterfall | 55 m+ | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$284 +26% | 4 |
| 454d |  Strider-1 | 55 m+ | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,442 | −$1,442 −100% | 4 |
| 454d |  RelaySucks | 55 m+ | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | +$1,596 +127% | 4 |
| 454d | RelaySucks2 fills | 50–55 m | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $2,399 | −$2,399 −100% | 4 |
| 454d | RelaySucks | 55 m+ | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,935 | −$1,935 −100% | 4 |
| 454d |  Moond | 55 m+ | SellYes73¢ → 0¢ | $1,978 | +$1,978 +100% | — |
| 454d | xbsuwrkfmdl372 fills | 45–50 m | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,295 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 454d |  Xplayer | 55 m+ | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | +$1,500 +100% | — |
| 454d | RelaySucks2 fills | 40–45 m | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,062 | +$525 +7.4% | 4 |
| 454d | RelaySucks2 fills | 45–50 m | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,876 | +$477 +17% | 4 |
| 454d | RelaySucks4 fills | 30–35 m | BuyNo>99¢ | $48,292 | +$77 +0.2% | 4 |
| 454d | RelaySucks5 fills | 35–40 m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $21,076 | +$255 +1.2% | 4 |
| 454d | RelaySucks2 fills | <30 m | BuyNo>99¢ | $41,972 | +$42 +0.1% | 4 |
| 455d |  Debosnys | <30 m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 455d | Moond | <30 m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | +$25 +2.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve to according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24hrs after being posted. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "<40m". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel, specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's announced next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 50–55 m means the market gives it about 100%.