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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25–30M | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <20M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20–25M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30–35M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 35–40M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40–45M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 45–50M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50M+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | 30–35M | BuyNo>99¢ | $101,971 | +$110 +0.1% | 4 |
| 222d | FlyingPlaty4 fills | 25–30M | BuyYes>99¢ | $117,610 | +$128 +0.1% | 4 |
| 222d | tsekinming01 | 30–35M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,335 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 222d | tsekinming01 | 25–30M | SellYes>99¢ | $15,240 | −$46 −0.3% | — |
| 222d |  puzzl32 fills | 30–35M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 222d |  Siuuuuuuuuu | 25–30M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,031 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 222d | Critical-BootNew account | 25–30M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,099 | +$145 +2.4% | 5 |
| 222d | Critical-BootNew account | 30–35M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,516 | +$49 +2.0% | 5 |
| 222d |  f15-SHOTDOWN-againAgainAgain | 30–35M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,808 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | f15-SHOTDOWN-againAgainAgain | 25–30M | SellYes>99¢ | $31,214 | −$31 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | AZwater2 fills | 20–25M | SellNo>99¢ | $33,280 | −$33 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | AZwater | 25–30M | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 222d |  Waterfall3 fills | 25–30M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,609 | −$61 −0.6% | — |
| 222d |  C78123 | 25–30M | SellYes>99¢ | $5,104 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 222d |  Hit-man | 25–30M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,439 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | wokerjoesleeper | 25–30M | SellYes>99¢ | $3,362 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 223d | AZwater | 40–45M | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 223d | AZwater3 fills | 35–40M | SellNo>99¢ | $29,970 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 223d | Waterfall | 30–35M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,398 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 223d | Losermaxxing | 30–35M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,174 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 223d |  Kamikaze99 | 25–30M | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,015 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 223d | Kamikaze99 | 30–35M | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,718 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 223d |  cryboy89 | 25–30M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,187 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 223d | AZwater5 fills | 25–30M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,364 | +$50 +0.7% | 4 |
| 223d | AZwater3 fills | 30–35M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,119 | +$25 +0.4% | 4 |
| 223d | AZwater3 fills | 45–50M | SellNo>99¢ | $29,970 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 223d | C781232 fills | 25–30M | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,424 | +$37 +0.3% | 4 |
| 223d | AZwater2 fills | <20M | SellNo>99¢ | $19,089 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 223d | Kamikaze99 | 50M+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,343 | +$28 +0.1% | 4 |
| 223d | rated | 50M+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 223d | idkwhatimdoinggg | 35–40M | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,117 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 223d | Waterfall | 25–30M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,963 | +$82 +4.2% | 4 |
| 223d | xixi932 | 25–30M | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | +$92 +6.4% | 4 |
| 223d | AZwater4 fills | 35–40M | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,042 | +$58 +0.3% | 4 |
| 223d | AZwater3 fills | 20–25M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,497 | +$112 +0.9% | 4 |
| 223d | influenz.eth2 fills | 20–25M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,901 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 223d | influenz.eth2 fills | 35–40M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,905 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 223d | Alive-Gumshoe | 25–30M | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,851 | −$149 −5.2% | — |
| 223d |  ggmggn | 20–25M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 223d | Waterfall | <20M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,354 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 223d | f15-SHOTDOWN-againAgainAgain2 fills | 25–30M | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,324 | +$227 +9.7% | 4 |
| 223d | AZwater2 fills | 50M+ | SellNo>99¢ | $14,665 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 223d |  shadow54 | <20M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,866 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 223d | Alive-Gumshoe | 20–25M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,271 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 223d |  Deepwinner888 | <20M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,789 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 223d | AZwater3 fills | <20M | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,313 | +$30 +0.4% | 4 |
| 223d | Toporceanu | 25–30M | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,543 | +$84 +5.4% | 4 |
| 223d | FlyingPlaty3 fills | 35–40M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,764 | +$25 +0.4% | 4 |
| 223d | FlyingPlaty | <20M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,964 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 223d | FlyingPlaty | 40–45M | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,334 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 223d | FlyingPlaty | 45–50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,222 | +$28 +0.1% | 4 |
| 223d | FlyingPlaty4 fills | 50M+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,507 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 223d | Alive-Gumshoe | 20–25M | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$61 +5.4% | 4 |
| 223d | f15-SHOTDOWN-againAgainAgain | 30–35M | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$531 +52% | 4 |
| 223d | f15-SHOTDOWN-againAgainAgain | 50M+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 223d |  JewRizzler | <20M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,450 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 223d | f15-SHOTDOWN-againAgainAgain5 fills | <20M | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,614 | +$98 +0.4% | 4 |
| 223d |  PicklePredictor2 fills | <20M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,968 | −$30 −0.6% | — |
| 223d | AZwater3 fills | 45–50M | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,848 | +$30 +0.1% | 4 |
| 223d | AZwater2 fills | 50M+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,068 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 25–30M means the market gives it about 100%.