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Polymarket wallet 0x783c12f649442a6e02fd2c66a768830e732afd0d · on Polymarket since Jan 25, 2026 · also shown as Harmless-Manager
NEVER JUMP INTO A ZERO SUM GAME. PLAY THE GAME THAT YOU KNOW YOU GONNA GAIN SOMETHING AND BE READY FOR CUT THE LOSS.
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 74 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 44 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 113 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 74 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.