Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81-82M | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <79M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 79-80M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80-81M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82-83M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 83-84M | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84M+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203d | 81-82M | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,313 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 203d | 82-83M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,028 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 203d | gold-digger | 82-83M | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,171 | −$32 −1.0% | — |
| 203d | AZwater2 fills | 80-81M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,423 | +$15 +0.4% | 20 |
| 203d | <79M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,503 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 203d | AZwater | <79M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,565 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 203d | AZwater | 79-80M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,636 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 203d | AZwater | 83-84M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,447 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 203d | 84M+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,485 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 203d | <79M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,503 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 203d | MerchantOfDefi | 80-81M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,322 | +$134 +3.1% | 20 |
| 203d | MerchantOfDefi | 81-82M | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,437 | +$169 +12% | 20 |
| 203d | gold-digger4 fills | 82-83M | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $14,376 | +$2,372 +16% | 25 |
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 81-82M means the market gives it about 100%.