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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Tedford | 100% | +3 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nathan Butterfield | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jed Cochran | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kim David | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nancy Dyson | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Courtney Gill | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jackson Lahmeyer | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dan Rooney | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paul Royse | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jackson Stallings | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Todd Woods | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kelly B. Walsh | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98d | Mark Tedford | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,281 | +$220 +4.2% | 10 | |
| 98d | Mark Tedford | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$48 +4.2% | 10 | |
| 105d | Featherweight | Mark Tedford | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | −$58 −5.5% | — |
| 112d | Jackson Lahmeyer | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,613 | −$26 −1.6% | — | |
| 115d | Featherweight | Jackson Lahmeyer | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,925 | −$309 −7.9% | — |
| 115d | OhWhatALonelyBoy | Jackson Lahmeyer | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,850 | −$32 −1.8% | — |
| 119d | cmarx | Jackson Lahmeyer | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,648 | −$31 −1.9% | — |
| 121d | Mark Tedford | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$73 +6.3% | 10 | |
| 121d | Jackson Lahmeyer | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$164 +14% | 10 |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Mark Tedford means the market gives it about 100%.