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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| October 31 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,601 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 310d | 0xDba78EAeC18Da2455d4b78De38828C | December 31 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | −$44 −4.1% | — |
| 312d | 0x066D64FA7B2e352B9000A51C6b56F53128 | December 31 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | −$48 −3.1% | — |
| 323d | 0xDba78EAeC18Da2455d4b78De38828C | December 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$38 +3.2% | 20 |
| 350d | October 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,143 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Atlas, the web browser by OpenAI, has a native Windows desktop application publicly available for download in the U.S. by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The application must be officially released by OpenAI or through official Atlas communication channels. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 0%.