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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Sandler | 0% | −5 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jacob Elordi | 100% | +3 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Paul Mescal | 0% | −90 pts | −89 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stellan Skarsgård | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mark Hamill | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Garfield | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Delroy Lindo | 100% | +97 pts | +92 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jeremy Strong | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jude Law | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sean Penn | 100% | +2 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Akira Emoto | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Isaac | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Benicio Del Toro | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Stephen Graham | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paul Dano | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kevin O'Leary | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Scott | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Miles Caton | 0% | −22 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Takehiro Hira | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sean Bean | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 268d | Miles Caton | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,790 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 268d | Andrew Scott | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,160 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 268d | anonymus8 | Stellan Skarsgård | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,893 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | anonymus8 | Sean Penn | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,033 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | anonymus8 | Akira Emoto | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,854 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | Jude Law | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,664 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 268d | Sean Penn | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,993 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 268d | Delroy Lindo | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,468 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 268d | 11122 | Andrew Scott | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,115 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 268d | 11122 | Miles Caton | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,894 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 268d | Stellan Skarsgård | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 268d | Adam Sandler | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,921 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 268d | 11122 | Jeremy Strong | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,812 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 268d | 11122 | Mark Hamill | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,975 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 268d | 11122 | Takehiro Hira | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,444 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 268d | 11122 | Kevin O'Leary | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,239 | +$17 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | 11122 | Stephen Graham | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,688 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 268d | 11122 | Benicio Del Toro | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,463 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 268d | Stellan Skarsgård | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$23 +2.2% | 20 | |
| 269d | sylv13 | Jacob Elordi | BuyYes100¢ | $1,015 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 269d | sylv13 | Benicio Del Toro | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,037 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 269d | sylv13 | Stellan Skarsgård | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,708 | +$12 +0.4% | 20 |
| 276d | fsdqw34q | Jude Law | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,474 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 276d | asfrq3t5rqsdg | Jude Law | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,470 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 279d | Horrible-Quilt | Oscar Isaac | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,548 | +$26 +1.0% | 20 |
| 279d | Boiling-Triumph | Oscar Isaac | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,644 | +$27 +1.0% | 20 |
| 279d | Physical-Clause | Oscar Isaac | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,649 | +$21 +0.8% | 20 |
| 279d | Knobby-Zombie | Oscar Isaac | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,553 | +$21 +0.8% | 20 |
| 280d | dfhgyu35y36y24 | Mark Hamill | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$20 +0.8% | 20 |
| 280d | faetgqt53r | Mark Hamill | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,482 | +$20 +0.8% | 20 |
| 280d | sdgw422erfsdt | Mark Hamill | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$20 +0.8% | 20 |
| 280d | dxfqr5q42sdgh | Mark Hamill | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,482 | +$20 +0.8% | 20 |
| 280d | dfgh5ety35y3 | Akira Emoto | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,482 | +$28 +1.1% | 20 |
| 280d | dfht6u346uy73 | Akira Emoto | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,478 | +$28 +1.1% | 20 |
| 280d | sdfg54ry2tsdg | Akira Emoto | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$25 +1.0% | 20 |
| 281d | swdt2q345qwert | Andrew Garfield | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$20 +0.8% | 20 |
| 281d | sdt246526wsg | Andrew Garfield | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,481 | +$20 +0.8% | 20 |
| 281d | sdt423624gsdg | Andrew Garfield | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$20 +0.8% | 20 |
| 281d | t465wedg562w | Andrew Garfield | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,481 | +$20 +0.8% | 20 |
| 281d | gdrye4y736y32 | Stephen Graham | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,656 | +$17 +1.0% | 20 |
| 281d | dsfgheryu7356y72w4 | Stephen Graham | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,654 | +$13 +0.8% | 20 |
| 281d | hdfguyhe5tyDFg | Stephen Graham | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,647 | +$13 +0.8% | 20 |
| 281d | vdgWERtdfhzRDh | Stephen Graham | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,661 | +$12 +0.7% | 20 |
| 281d | sdfgw462w46 | Stephen Graham | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,656 | +$12 +0.7% | 20 |
| 281d | syhe5753625t | Stephen Graham | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,649 | +$12 +0.7% | 20 |
| 281d | asfaksfgaiyci884 | Paul Dano | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,555 | +$23 +0.9% | 20 |
| 281d | hnsbsdfs5 | Paul Dano | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,660 | +$24 +0.9% | 20 |
| 281d | aflkhgdo8gds | Paul Dano | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,660 | +$24 +0.9% | 20 |
| 281d | dytje45ue4uhj | Paul Dano | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,555 | +$23 +0.9% | 20 |
| 282d | sdfgeawrya3 | Jeremy Strong | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,660 | +$13 +0.8% | 20 |
| 282d | asdFwE4TrasFD | Jeremy Strong | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | +$13 +0.8% | 20 |
| 282d | dfhgsw467w45 | Jeremy Strong | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,648 | +$13 +0.8% | 20 |
| 282d | rfuj5367urth | Jeremy Strong | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,660 | +$13 +0.8% | 20 |
| 282d | vsdgtw46y24 | Jeremy Strong | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | +$13 +0.8% | 20 |
| 282d | dfhgdfu57 | Jeremy Strong | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,648 | +$13 +0.8% | 20 |
| 282d | adfge35au7qarfy | Mark Hamill | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,661 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 282d | dfh6u8wr7s5ty | Mark Hamill | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,657 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 282d | kjashfkjasfhcz | Mark Hamill | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,650 | +$5 +0.3% | 20 |
| 282d | hdfhgsfs52345 | Mark Hamill | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,659 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 |
| 282d | dsvcxtysdfr66 | Mark Hamill | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,655 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Adam Sandler means the market gives it about 0%.