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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2-4b | 100% | +29 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$1b | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $1-2b | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $4-6b | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $6-8b | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $8-10b | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$10b | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 668d | Kieranlooney | $2-4b | SellYes>99¢ | $4,091 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 668d | Okokol | $1-2b | SellNo>99¢ | $2,418 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 668d | Sohilmemon | $2-4b | SellYes>99¢ | $1,182 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 668d |  lranon | $1-2b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,895 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 668d | Ones | $4-6b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,946 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 668d | fire21s | $2-4b | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,819 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 668d | Lol555 | $2-4b | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,730 | −$14 −0.8% | — |
| 668d |  donjo | <$1b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,909 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 668d | ostrygracz | <$1b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 668d | szakal | <$1b | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 668d | Okokol2 fills | $1-2b | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,019 | +$31 +1.6% | 2 |
| 668d |  richan2 fills | $2-4b | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,666 | +$134 +2.0% | 2 |
| 668d |  pumpkin9 | $2-4b | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,441 | +$284 +12% | 3 |
| 668d | Sohilmemon | $2-4b | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$148 +14% | 3 |
| 668d | Mhcccc | $1-2b | SellYes22¢ → 0¢ | $3,960 | +$3,960 +100% | — |
| 668d | jsctggggg | $1-2b | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $4,680 | +$1,320 +28% | 3 |
| 668d | nnchhhc | $1-2b | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $9,360 | +$2,640 +28% | 3 |
| 668d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | $8-10b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 668d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | >$10b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$20 +1.1% | 2 |
| 669d |  McDonalds-Employee2 fills | $1-2b | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,238 | +$215 +9.6% | 3 |
| 669d |  Mrmarket334 | $1-2b | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$193 +18% | 3 |
| 669d | McDonalds-Employee | $2-4b | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$493 +49% | 4 |
| 669d | commeowder | <$1b | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,663 | −$61 −3.7% | — |
| 669d | commeowder | <$1b | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$44 +4.2% | 2 |
| 669d |  Anjun | <$1b | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,820 | +$180 +6.4% | 2 |
| 669d | shvc | <$1b | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 5 |
| 669d | tcjsjgll | $4-6b | SellYes32¢ → 0¢ | $3,520 | +$3,520 +100% | — |
| 669d | kSKCMMT2 fills | $4-6b | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $6,800 | +$3,200 +47% | 3 |
| 669d | Ksmcgyb | $4-6b | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $4,080 | +$1,920 +47% | 3 |
| 669d | Ksmcgyb | $4-6b | SellYes32¢ → 0¢ | $4,160 | +$4,160 +100% | — |
| 669d | tcjsjgll | $4-6b | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $5,440 | +$2,560 +47% | 3 |
TimeTraveler15,362 sharesThis is a market on the projected market capitalization of $PENGU one day after its launch.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $2-4b means the market gives it about 100%.