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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200d | ZIONISTSAREGHEY | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,503 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 203d |  Slowroasted | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,457 | +$9 +0.6% | 20 |
| 204d | Hiworld. | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,467 | +$25 +1.0% | 20 |
| 208d |  ErnstKuzorra | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | −$14 −1.1% | — |
| 212d |  KingZeManel | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$33 +3.2% | 20 |
| 232d | Jungerrespecter | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$36 +1.8% | 20 |
| 251d |  TylerTurden | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,495 | −$91 −6.1% | — |
| 280d | Anon55662 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,714 | +$274 +10% | 20 |
| 287d | usernameunknown | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | −$115 −8.7% | — |
| 287d |  pepeFight | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,430 | +$183 +7.5% | 20 |
| 288d |  Milktoast | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,635 | +$168 +10% | 20 |
| 304d |  siick | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | −$284 −23% | — |
| 313d | rulki3 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $4,682 | +$932 +20% | 20 |
| 314d |  Arbguy | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,212 | +$553 +25% | 20 |
| 319d | siick | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$260 +24% | 20 |
Haschkeksz4,245 shares
LMNOP-3791 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be the US Secretary of Defense for any period of time between December 1, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.