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Polymarket wallet 0xaf0ed96183ecde2bd4eeb8b8ec39f8b5eb145b00 · on Polymarket since Nov 15, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 78 | 71¢ → 100¢ | $78 | +$23 +42% |
| GPT ads by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 51 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 72 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 179 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$71 −100% |
| Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 234 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 205 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 179 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.