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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 19 | 100% | 0 pts | +35 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| December 31 | 100% | +14 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| December 20 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| November 30 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| November 20 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| December 18 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| November 19 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| November 21 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 297d |  Alphax3 fills | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $35,960 | −$40 −0.1% | — |
| 297d |  KARMASUR6 fills | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $131,016 | +$251 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d | ForFamily | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,398 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d |  Yukaii3 fills | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $22,478 | −$23 −0.1% | — |
| 297d |  Snpe3 fills | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $16,583 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 297d |  Nexuus4 fills | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $53,447 | −$54 −0.1% | — |
| 297d |  Ignisss3 fills | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $34,965 | −$35 −0.1% | — |
| 297d | locuspm4 fills | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $76,723 | −$77 −0.1% | — |
| 297d |  Pestle3 fills | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $69,229 | −$69 −0.1% | — |
| 297d |  doubleone22 fills | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $13,272 | −$25 −0.2% | — |
| 297d |  aaa611 fills | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $48,926 | −$126 −0.3% | — |
| 297d | Jovial-Commandment | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $17,718 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 297d | ILOMEEN | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,102 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 297d | wiq3 fills | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $16,481 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 297d |  mioki2 fills | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,546 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 297d | Alphax3 fills | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,779 | +$25 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d |  wish- | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $36,097 | +$36 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d |  tsybka6 fills | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $420,822 | +$1,201 +0.3% | 20 |
| 297d |  BondSolo | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,072 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d |  ggmggn6 fills | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $84,418 | +$130 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d |  MrNFT | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,062 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d |  debased2 fills | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $93,240 | −$93 −0.1% | — |
| 297d |  chungguskhan | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $197,628 | +$198 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d |  MasonsConqueredRome | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d |  ZhangMuZhi-16 fills | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $78,295 | +$78 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d | Jerzy | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,000 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d |  Porx | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d |  mocking-guess | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 297d | borntoolate.eth2 fills | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $220,699 | +$321 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d | Rofigil | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,954 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d | Ordon7 fills | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $33,842 | +$60 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d | LBZone | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d | Pingotito | December 19 | BuyNo<1¢ | $1,009 | −$1,009 −100% | 20 |
| 297d | iqbal | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $26,957 | +$27 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d | maldinifi | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $48,206 | +$48 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d |  one8tyfive | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $54,945 | +$55 +0.1% | 20 |
| 297d |  isunou2 fills | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $64,307 | +$112 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d | Ordon12 fills | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $133,130 | −$151 −0.1% | — |
| 297d |  zwxokx | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,272 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 297d | lfg3215 fills | December 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $347,594 | +$855 +0.2% | 20 |
| 297d | hollyber | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $14,108 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 297d |  hild | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $42,358 | −$42 −0.1% | — |
| 297d | isunou | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $47,690 | −$48 −0.1% | — |
| 298d | KARMASUR2 fills | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $59,940 | −$60 −0.1% | — |
| 298d |  Naichli2 fills | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,980 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 298d |  vivi-2026 | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $12,987 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 298d | ggmggn3 fills | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $54,945 | −$55 −0.1% | — |
| 298d | rwo2 fills | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $33,901 | −$34 −0.1% | — |
| 298d |  AxiaSystem | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,860 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 298d |  Giorgio2 | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 298d |  goalone | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,036 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 298d |  libratus1 | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,249 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 298d | pikaqiuzwx | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,007 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 298d | purpleunicorn | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,109 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 298d |  probability | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 298d | 0x2413…b0f8 | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,064 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 298d | 0xdf5c…2ff8 | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,154 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 298d |  adonpoli | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,209 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 298d | PoliCop8888 | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,021 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 298d |  Tigerofthehood | December 19 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,001 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration publicly releases any files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein, which weren’t previously public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying file must contain substantive information pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein. The following will qualify: -Previously released documents in which redactions containing new substantive content such as names of associates or practices directly pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein were removed. -Documents which weren’t previously public which contain information pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which was already known from previous releases (e.g. a previously unreleased document pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which mentions Ghislaine Maxwell will qualify even if the information itself isn’t novel) The following will not qualify: -Trivial metadata-only releases, duplicative redactions, or administrative cover sheets without substantive content. -Files which were created after the start of the Trump Administration (January 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET). -Announcements of declassifications or releases that are not implemented within this market's timeframe. -Releases made exclusively by federal courts (including unsealings), Congress or its committees, state or local governments, private entities, or leaks not officially attributable to the Executive Branch. -Releases made by non-Executive entities, even if based on Executive Branch filings or requests. -Court-ordered FOIA disclosures or FOIA litigation records provided by a court. -Leaked, unofficial, or anonymously sourced disclosures will not qualify For a release to qualify, the Executive Branch must itself publish the files to the public, such as through an official website, public press release, or FOIA reading room. Transmissions to Congress, courts, or other non-Executive entities do not qualify unless the Executive Branch subsequently makes the files publicly accessible. FOIA responses qualify only if the Executive Branch agency itself publicly releases the responsive files. FOIA disclosures published by courts as part of litigation do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for December 19 means the market gives it about 100%.