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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 291d | ballboy95 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,037 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 293d | Coach99 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 299d | d1arrhea | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $6,227 | −$1,882 −30% | — |
| 301d | idfinsider0228 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,441 | +$16 +1.1% | 20 |
| 320d | dve4778 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | −$63 −6.2% | — |
| 325d |  Red781RuM | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | −$61 −5.3% | — |
| 359d |  QuantumComputerInc | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,276 | −$203 −8.9% | — |
| 413d | Ineedhole | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $8,079 | −$674 −8.3% | — |
| 447d |  just.some.guy3 fills | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $10,575 | −$1,825 −17% | — |
| 447d | Ineedhole | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,358 | +$602 +11% | 20 |
| 474d | kwienz | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | +$130 +11% | 20 |
| 486d | Gennedy2 fills | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $9,186 | +$784 +8.5% | 20 |
| 487d | DanyBedard | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | +$274 +14% | 20 |
| 492d | GenericUser123412 fills | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $19,962 | −$5,582 −28% | — |
| 493d | goingsocial | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,353 | −$638 −27% | — |
| 498d | Bertastan | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,439 | −$498 −20% | — |
| 517d | Smegmagod | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellYes19¢ → 0¢ | $1,187 | +$1,187 +100% | — |
| 523d |  Doggerlander3 fills | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $4,049 | −$1,643 −41% | — |
| 525d |  knrad | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,992 | +$498 +25% | 20 |
| 526d | RowdyTellezMVP | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellYes19¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | +$1,200 +100% | — |
| 530d | zlemahjx | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,148 | −$516 −24% | — |
| 532d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f722 fills | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellYes19¢ → 0¢ | $2,202 | +$2,202 +100% | — |
| 532d | Frayed-Acceptance | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,178 | −$315 −27% | — |
| 533d | Doggerlander4 fills | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $5,977 | +$5,544 +93% | 20 |
| 533d | Smegmagod | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,782 | −$1,782 −100% | 22 |
| 533d | Bertastan | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$837 +40% | 20 |
| 534d | DelightfulDelights3 fills | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $6,148 | +$6,148 +100% | — |
| 534d | Jenny42069 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $2,134 | −$2,134 −100% | 22 |
| 534d | just.some.guy5 fills | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $16,730 | +$9,533 +57% | 20 |
| 534d | sigmaballz | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,521 | −$819 −54% | — |
| 534d | Rockstarburner | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $3,121 | +$1,716 +55% | 20 |
| 534d |  mr.ozi | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,469 | +$774 +53% | 20 |
| 535d |  Wickier | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,183 | +$1,183 +100% | — |
| 535d | goingsocial | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$835 +68% | 20 |
| 535d | Gonzo2000 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellNo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | −$1,275 −92% | — |
| 535d | InsiderrrZ2 fills | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellYes59¢ → 0¢ | $3,091 | +$3,091 +100% | — |
| 535d |  ciro2 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo40¢ → 100¢ | $5,600 | +$8,400 +150% | 23 |
| 535d | GenericUser1234 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo42¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | +$1,671 +138% | 20 |
| 535d |  ChocolateSTAR2 fills | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellYes71¢ → 0¢ | $2,487 | +$2,487 +100% | — |
| 536d | 0xb55c6dc1dafc7c30f48d617252ee75bcc5c540a3 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $2,560 | −$2,560 −100% | 20 |
| 536d | QQQ9000 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,168 | −$1,168 −100% | 20 |
| 536d | poligott | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellYes61¢ → 0¢ | $1,338 | +$1,338 +100% | — |
| 536d | poligott2 fills | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $5,995 | −$5,995 −100% | 20 |
| 536d | 343N | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $1,931 | −$1,931 −100% | 20 |
| 536d | Justin007 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,206 | −$1,206 −100% | 20 |
| 536d | operationcastle | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,609 | +$1,609 +100% | — |
| 536d | Wickier | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,747 | −$1,747 −100% | 20 |
| 536d |  NonchalantGuy | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo31¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | +$3,085 +223% | 21 |
| 536d | DelightfulDelights | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,152 | −$1,152 −100% | 20 |
| 536d | slight- | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $1,215 | −$1,215 −100% | 20 |
| 536d |  khatai | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellNo26¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | −$3,456 −282% | — |
| 536d | Orcishroler | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,447 | +$1,447 +100% | — |
| 536d | Pokymarket | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $4,688 | −$4,688 −100% | 20 |
| 536d | operationcastle | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $2,070 | −$2,070 −100% | 20 |
| 536d |  YoungGriff5 fills | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $7,346 | −$7,346 −100% | 20 |
| 536d | biden4prez | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $2,533 | −$2,533 −100% | 20 |
| 536d | georgejetson | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellYes61¢ → 0¢ | $3,273 | +$3,273 +100% | — |
| 540d | georgejetson2 fills | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $4,046 | −$4,046 −100% | 20 |
| 547d | Ralvith | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | SellNo40¢ → 100¢ | $11,768 | −$17,653 −150% | — |
| 547d | Zevrios | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $17,713 | −$17,713 −100% | 20 |
YoungGriff2,808 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Pierre Poilievre announces he is resigning as head of the Conservative Party of Canada or otherwise ceases to be head of the Conservative Party of Canada for any length of time between March 23, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pierre Poilievre or the Conservative Party of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.