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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence | 57% | −1 pts | +9 pts | 56¢ · 58¢ (2¢) | — | in 102d |
| Dak Prescott | 63% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 61¢ · 64¢ (3¢) | — | in 102d |
| Jalen Hurts | 14% | −14 pts | +1 pts | 5¢ · 22¢ (17¢) | $711 | in 102d |
| Brock Purdy | 67% | — | +24 pts | 66¢ · 67¢ (1¢) | — | in 102d |
| Josh Allen | 27% | +4 pts | −15 pts | 24¢ · 29¢ (5¢) | $405 | in 102d |
| Matthew Stafford | 54% | +3 pts | −19 pts | 53¢ · 54¢ (1¢) | $401 | in 102d |
| Jaxson Dart | 2% | 0 pts | −4 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 102d |
| Bo Nix | 12% | −10 pts | −5 pts | 11¢ · 12¢ (1¢) | — | in 102d |
| Aaron Rodgers | 44% | −5 pts | +30 pts | 43¢ · 44¢ (1¢) | $300 | in 102d |
| Fernando Mendoza | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 102d |
| Drake Maye | 46% | −2 pts | +21 pts | 45¢ · 46¢ (1¢) | $187 | in 102d |
| Baker Mayfield | 6% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 5¢ · 7¢ (2¢) | — | in 102d |
| Jordan Love | 59% | +6 pts | +8 pts | 58¢ · 59¢ (1¢) | $163 | in 102d |
| Joe Burrow | 66% | +1 pts | −3 pts | 64¢ · 67¢ (3¢) | $103 | in 102d |
| Tyler Shough | 34% | −2 pts | +4 pts | 33¢ · 34¢ (1¢) | — | in 102d |
| Malik Willis | 9% | −2 pts | −1 pts | 7¢ · 11¢ (4¢) | — | in 102d |
| Caleb Williams | 14% | — | −2 pts | 3¢ · 25¢ (22¢) | — | in 102d |
| Lamar Jackson | 12% | −12 pts | −16 pts | 4¢ · 20¢ (16¢) | $60 | in 102d |
| C.J. Stroud | 13% | −1 pts | −4 pts | 12¢ · 14¢ (2¢) | $45.1 | in 102d |
| Jared Goff | 68% | +3 pts | +23 pts | 67¢ · 68¢ (1¢) | $40 | in 102d |
| Sam Darnold | 24% | — | −3 pts | 22¢ · 25¢ (3¢) | $40 | in 102d |
| Bryce Young | 56% | −3 pts | +21 pts | 54¢ · 57¢ (3¢) | $30 | in 102d |
| Justin Herbert | 6% | −8 pts | −10 pts | 3¢ · 8¢ (5¢) | — | in 102d |
| Cameron Ward | 6% | −8 pts | −8 pts | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | $20 | in 102d |
| Patrick Mahomes | 82% | — | +2 pts | 65¢ · 99¢ (34¢) | $14 | in 102d |
| Jayden Daniels | 3% | −9 pts | −9 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 102d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 30. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns the listed player recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 57¢ for Trevor Lawrence means the market gives it about 57%.