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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$4B | 100% | +9 pts | +35 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >$10B | 0% | −3 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$8B | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| >$5B | 100% | +28 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 458d |  scout | >$5B | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,377 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 458d | Miss | >$10B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,790 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 458d | gsakura | >$4B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,063 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 458d | larrylearntrade | >$8B | SellNo>99¢ | $2,010 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 458d |  prescient | >$5B | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 458d |  djwcx | >$4B | SellYes>99¢ | $7,694 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 458d | HUHHHHHhhhhh | >$5B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,677 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 458d | HUHHHHHhhhhh | >$5B | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,670 | +$9 +0.5% | 20 |
| 458d | tradersss | >$4B | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,228 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 458d |  Dropper | >$10B | BuyNo>99¢ | $43,029 | +$43 +0.1% | 20 |
| 458d | scout | >$4B | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,711 | +$64 +0.2% | 20 |
| 458d | Glamorous-Vegetarianism | >$4B | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,010 | −$20 −0.7% | — |
| 458d | kaye | >$10B | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,621 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 |
| 458d |  Ban4ik | >$4B | BuyYes100¢ | $6,667 | +$34 +0.5% | 20 |
| 459d | inves | >$10B | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,994 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 459d | limosine4 fills | >$4B | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $43,024 | +$576 +1.3% | 20 |
| 459d | HUHHHHHhhhhh | >$10B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,358 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 459d | Dionix | >$4B | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,234 | +$21 +0.3% | 20 |
| 459d |  arjennnnn3 fills | >$10B | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,889 | +$27 +0.3% | 20 |
| 459d | commeowder | >$8B | BuyNo100¢ | $3,927 | +$20 +0.5% | 20 |
| 459d | aadvark | >$5B | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,302 | +$228 +9.9% | 20 |
| 459d |  kuiyi2 fills | >$10B | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,493 | +$22 +0.2% | 20 |
| 459d | 4096 | >$5B | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | −$997 −40% | — |
| 459d | commeowder2 fills | >$10B | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,687 | +$124 +1.9% | 20 |
| 459d | BollywoodQueen | >$4B | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,641 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 459d | arjennnnn | >$10B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,348 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 459d | ffwfwfw | >$5B | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,172 | −$352 −11% | — |
| 459d | superlarry | >$10B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$8 +0.8% | 20 |
| 459d | limosine3 fills | >$10B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,912 | +$49 +0.6% | 20 |
| 459d | 0x5599…98c3 | >$5B | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | −$113 −8.0% | — |
| 459d | Shilaz12 | >$4B | BuyYes100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 459d |  Gr33d | >$4B | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$13 +1.1% | 20 |
| 459d | larrylearntrade | >$8B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,997 | +$18 +0.9% | 20 |
| 459d | prescient | >$5B | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | +$183 +12% | 20 |
| 459d | worldeconomy | >$4B | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,547 | +$110 +3.1% | 20 |
| 459d |  TwoEyes | >$5B | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,367 | +$241 +18% | 20 |
| 459d | machbut2 fills | >$4B | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $31,405 | +$3,907 +12% | 20 |
| 459d | styling4 fills | >$10B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,620 | +$110 +0.8% | 20 |
| 459d | pumpfun911 | >$8B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$100 +1.1% | 20 |
| 459d | aadvark2 fills | >$10B | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,621 | +$78 +3.0% | 20 |
| 459d |  mcduck6 fills | >$4B | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $16,110 | +$1,610 +10.0% | 20 |
| 459d | aadvark3 fills | >$8B | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $18,878 | +$3,778 +20% | 20 |
| 459d | SaylorMoon3 fills | >$4B | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $10,184 | +$1,340 +13% | 20 |
| 459d | okcoolstorybro | >$4B | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | +$240 +14% | 20 |
| 459d |  mostobesegoldfish | >$4B | BuyNo10¢ → 0¢ | $2,980 | −$2,980 −100% | 28 |
| 459d |  Homeless | >$4B | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,184 | −$216 −9.9% | — |
| 459d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29 | >$5B | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$400 +25% | 20 |
| 459d | SaylorMoon | >$5B | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$600 +25% | 20 |
| 459d | aadvark2 fills | >$4B | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $24,959 | +$2,177 +8.7% | 20 |
| 459d | mcduck2 fills | >$5B | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $7,196 | +$1,804 +25% | 20 |
| 459d | constnull | >$10B | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$306 +6.1% | 20 |
| 459d | Royal-Die | >$8B | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$253 +25% | 20 |
| 459d | skycapital | >$10B | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$316 +6.4% | 20 |
| 459d | OptionK | >$8B | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,301 | +$434 +33% | 20 |
| 460d | Biodegradable-VampireNew account | >$4B | SellNo18¢ → 0¢ | $1,754 | +$1,754 +100% | — |
| 460d | Belated-Daughter3 fills | >$4B | BuyNo16¢ → 0¢ | $6,593 | −$6,593 −100% | 32 |
| 460d | Royal-Die | >$10B | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$94 +7.5% | 20 |
| 460d | PlanTruster | >$4B | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$374 +15% | 20 |
| 460d |  Trenches | >$4B | BuyNo18¢ → 0¢ | $1,199 | −$1,199 −100% | 21 |
| 460d |  formernorrisfan | >$4B | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,364 | +$135 +9.9% | 20 |
Astor20,936 shares
lmaoseeker2,166 sharesPump.fun market cap (FDV) above... one day after launch?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >$4B means the market gives it about 100%.