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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4-6B | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$4B | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $6-8B | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$8B | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 458d | ffwfwfw | $6-8B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,295 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 458d | ffwfwfw | $4-6B | SellYes>99¢ | $4,489 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 459d | davgura | $6-8B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,848 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 459d |  PMarketMaker | $6-8B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 459d | sleepin | $4-6B | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,270 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 459d |  itzypicks | $4-6B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,206 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 459d |  scout2 fills | $6-8B | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,847 | +$218 +2.5% | 2 |
| 459d | scout | $4-6B | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,503 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 459d | jerryludos | $4-6B | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,396 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 459d | ffwfwfw | $4-6B | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,459 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 |
| 459d | aadvark2 fills | $6-8B | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $18,419 | +$4,070 +22% | 2 |
| 459d | Dar1us | $4-6B | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$349 +19% | 2 |
| 459d | cigarettes | $6-8B | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$202 +19% | 2 |
| 459d | cigarettes | >$8B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 459d | macarena | $4-6B | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | +$256 +18% | 2 |
| 459d | horiz0n | <$4B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,324 | +$34 +1.0% | 2 |
| 459d | ffwfwfw | >$8B | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | −$54 −5.3% | — |
| 460d | aadvark | >$8B | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $7,632 | +$1,140 +15% | 2 |
| 461d | kTuck2828 | >$8B | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,946 | −$980 −50% | — |
| 461d | lilquant | >$8B | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,037 | +$463 +23% | 2 |
| 461d |  Warsh-Nightmare | <$4B | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,730 | +$270 +7.2% | 2 |
| 462d | kTuck2828 | >$8B | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,440 | +$485 +20% | 2 |
| 463d |  LSRSSS | >$8B | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | −$151 −12% | — |
| 463d | LSRSSS | >$8B | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | +$137 +11% | 2 |
| 463d | blguppp | >$8B | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | +$218 +11% | 2 |
| 464d |  djwcx | <$4B | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$270 +26% | 2 |
FreeCityIndividual603 shares
Anjun111 sharesThis is a market on the fully diluted valuation of Pump.fun's token one day post-launch.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $4-6B means the market gives it about 100%.