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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $200M | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $500M | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $1B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d |  ZhangMuZhi-2 fills | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,309 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 289d | okcoolstorybro8 fills | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $28,238 | +$214 +0.8% | 2 |
| 290d |  UwO2 fills | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,198 | +$48 +0.2% | 2 |
| 290d | justmika | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,519 | +$90 +0.4% | 2 |
| 290d | hathuc | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,970 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 290d |  welsing | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,439 | +$12 +0.5% | 2 |
| 293d | Ryan13655 fills | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,546 | +$91 +1.0% | 2 |
| 293d | Ryan1365 | $500M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,862 | +$35 +0.7% | 2 |
| 294d | okcoolstorybro | $500M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,382 | +$11 +0.8% | 2 |
| 296d |  moksel3 fills | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,676 | +$119 +0.8% | 2 |
| 297d | moksel | $200M | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,603 | −$173 −2.0% | — |
| 298d |  chillgay | $200M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$23 +1.1% | 2 |
| 299d | kevin-airdrop | $500M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,274 | +$23 +1.0% | 2 |
| 299d | kevin-airdrop | $200M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,329 | +$60 +2.6% | 2 |
| 301d | Retiredio | $200M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$68 +3.4% | 2 |
| 304d | elpredictoooor | $3B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,047 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 306d | lejcles | $1B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
| 306d | lejcles | $500M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,498 | +$16 +1.1% | 2 |
| 311d | topsonrock | $1B | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$31 +2.6% | 2 |
| 339d | lejcles | $3B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,177 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
sudipa11,815 shares
nothing0000002,572 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Rainbow's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Rainbow (https://rainbow.me/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $200M means the market gives it about 0%.