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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 654d |  BustedCungly | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,330 | −$43 −1.3% | — |
| 655d |  mr.ozi | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,919 | +$14 +0.7% | 4 |
| 655d | Okokol | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,823 | +$24 +1.3% | 4 |
| 656d |  DegenerateJanet2 fills | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,706 | +$77 +2.1% | 4 |
| 657d |  png1024 | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | −$96 −8.5% | — |
| 657d | png1024 | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$33 +2.7% | 4 |
| 657d |  BuckMySalls3 fills | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $13,487 | +$673 +5.0% | 4 |
| 658d | sihowes | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,941 | −$107 −5.5% | — |
| 658d | chervya4ok228 | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,993 | −$1,993 −100% | 12 |
| 658d |  Tenebrus7 | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | −$75 −6.9% | — |
| 658d | tsekinming01 | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,231 | +$93 +4.2% | 4 |
| 658d | sihowes | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | +$82 +4.2% | 4 |
| 658d |  cdpor2 | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,172 | +$114 +5.3% | 4 |
| 658d | cisco | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,877 | +$99 +5.3% | 4 |
| 659d |  Car2 fills | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,244 | +$137 +6.1% | 4 |
| 659d | amused853 fills | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,219 | +$409 +5.7% | 4 |
| 659d |  Manaray | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,102 | +$111 +5.3% | 4 |
| 659d | cqs | Russia claims responsibility for downing Azerbaijan plane? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$150 +5.3% | 4 |
crowley66683 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of Russia explicitly claims responsibility for the downing of Flight J2-8243 on December 25, 2024, by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Claims can come from statements by the Russian government, military, or intelligence services. Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Russia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.