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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 100% | +1 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| July 31 | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| August 31 | 0% | −2 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37d | KiernanMeister3 fills | December 31 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $47,198 | +$2,255 +4.8% | 4 |
| 42d | Opulent-Communicant | December 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,364 | +$45 +3.3% | 4 |
| 46d | August 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,742 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 46d | August 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 57d | Another-Kilt | August 31 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,265 | −$180 −14% | — |
| 60d | 0x6fc8…d0db | December 31 | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | −$365 −27% | — |
| 60d | KiernanMeister | December 31 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,491 | −$226 −9.1% | — |
| 77d | FlyingPlaty | July 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,394 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 100%.