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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinner 3:0 | 100% | +76 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Djokovic 3:0 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sinner 3:1 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Djokovic 3:1 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sinner 3:2 | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Djokovic 3:2 | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 463d | hanswurst | Sinner 3:0 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,191 | −$191 −8.7% | — |
| 463d | S-Works | Other | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,910 | +$90 +3.1% | 4 |
| 463d | seneca8 | Sinner 3:0 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$324 +25% | 4 |
| 463d | hanswurst | Sinner 3:0 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,905 | +$476 +25% | 4 |
| 463d | EchipaFalcuta | Djokovic 3:0 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,851 | +$255 +5.3% | 4 |
| 463d | nonkenny902 fills | Other | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,410 | +$90 +2.0% | 4 |
This is a market to predict the exact set score in the Wimbledon men’s singles semifinal match between Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic, scheduled for July 11, 2025. If the listed exact set score occurs, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the match ends in a tie, is canceled, or delayed past July 12, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other". If either player withdraws mid-match, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Sinner 3:0 means the market gives it about 100%.