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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jae-myung by 8–11% | 100% | +77 pts | +82 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jae-myung by >23% | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jae-myung by 20–23% | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jae-myung by 17–20% | 0% | −5 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jae-myung by 14–17% | 0% | −17 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jae-myung by 11–14% | 0% | −30 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jae-myung by 5-8% | 0% | −15 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jae-myung by <5% | 0% | −4 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | −3 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500d | Jae-myung by 8–11% | SellYes>99¢ | $5,601 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 500d | kkagency | Jae-myung by 5-8% | SellNo>99¢ | $7,992 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | FreedomGundam | Jae-myung by 5-8% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | FreedomGundam | Jae-myung by 8–11% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,997 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 500d | ihatelee | Jae-myung by 8–11% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,348 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | chuchulong | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,929 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 500d | P1kaso | Jae-myung by 11–14% | SellNo>99¢ | $5,095 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 500d | spark12 fills | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,103 | +$262 +3.2% | 10 |
| 500d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f722 fills | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,280 | +$208 +6.4% | 10 |
| 500d | hindu | Jae-myung by 5-8% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | +$12 +0.9% | 10 |
| 500d | hindu8 fills | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $59,582 | +$1,752 +2.9% | 10 |
| 500d | SaylorMoon | Jae-myung by 5-8% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | +$28 +2.4% | 10 |
| 500d | gotan | Jae-myung by 8–11% | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,681 | −$59 −3.5% | — |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 8–11% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | −$27 −2.4% | — | |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 5-8% | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $16,273 | +$550 +3.4% | 10 | |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 8–11% | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | −$55 −4.4% | — | |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,897 | +$45 +2.4% | 10 | |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$44 +3.8% | 10 | |
| 500d | Doggieson2 fills | Jae-myung by 5-8% | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$473 +6.8% | 10 |
| 500d | Doggieson2 fills | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$1,260 +13% | 10 |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $8,680 | +$1,996 +23% | 10 | |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$219 +20% | 10 | |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 5-8% | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $6,115 | +$1,635 +27% | 10 | |
| 500d | gmfor | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,703 | +$563 +33% | 10 |
| 500d | Lfglfg44 | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,871 | +$957 +33% | 10 |
| 500d | Lfglfg44 | Jae-myung by 5-8% | SellYes22¢ → 0¢ | $2,871 | +$2,871 +100% | — |
| 500d | eric7773 fills | Jae-myung by 5-8% | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $6,132 | +$930 +15% | 10 |
| 500d | Kapii3 fills | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $9,977 | +$2,650 +27% | 10 |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 5-8% | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $4,474 | +$2,526 +56% | 10 | |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 5-8% | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $2,574 | +$2,574 +100% | — | |
| 500d | Babo777 | Jae-myung by 5-8% | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,568 | +$808 +52% | 10 |
| 500d | user588436 | Jae-myung by 5-8% | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,164 | −$1,164 −100% | 10 |
| 500d | Doggieson | Jae-myung by 8–11% | SellYes46¢ → 100¢ | $2,644 | −$3,131 −118% | — |
| 500d | rabs | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,012 | −$1,012 −100% | 10 |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 5-8% | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,362 | −$1,362 −100% | 11 | |
| 500d | yjcr2 fills | Jae-myung by 8–11% | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $29,125 | −$3,698 −13% | — |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 5-8% | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | −$322 −31% | — | |
| 500d | ABTC | Jae-myung by 5-8% | SellYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,032 | +$1,032 +100% | — |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 8–11% | SellYes47¢ → 100¢ | $3,776 | −$4,237 −112% | — | |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 5-8% | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $7,524 | +$7,349 +98% | 10 | |
| 500d | wokerjoesleeper | Jae-myung by 5-8% | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,884 | −$2,884 −100% | 10 |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 8–11% | SellYes39¢ → 100¢ | $2,214 | −$3,478 −157% | — | |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 8–11% | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,811 | −$703 −39% | — | |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 8–11% | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $4,981 | −$928 −19% | — | |
| 500d | givemeonedallar | Jae-myung by 8–11% | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | −$141 −11% | — |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,216 | +$298 +9.3% | 10 | |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $10,267 | +$1,557 +15% | 10 | |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 17–20% | SellNo>99¢ | $5,317 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 500d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $3,542 | +$1,660 +47% | 10 |
| 500d | forestk | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | +$251 +21% | 10 |
| 500d | Rich-Deodorant | Jae-myung by 5-8% | SellYes41¢ → 0¢ | $2,518 | +$2,518 +100% | — |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 5-8% | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,757 | +$1,242 +71% | 10 | |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 8–11% | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $3,536 | −$2,776 −78% | — | |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 5-8% | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $1,614 | −$1,614 −100% | 11 | |
| 500d | SaylorMoon | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyNo48¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | 10 |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 5-8% | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $2,062 | −$2,062 −100% | 10 | |
| 500d | cnfiguridofjnfke | Jae-myung by 8–11% | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | — |
| 500d | Jae-myung by 8–11% | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $4,101 | −$4,101 −100% | 10 | |
| 500d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f72 | Jae-myung by 5-8% | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,209 | +$1,209 +100% | — |
| 500d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | Jae-myung by 5-8% | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$1,042 +100% | 10 |
South Korean presidential elections are scheduled to occur on June 3, 2025, following the impeachment of Yoon Suk Yeol. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 South Korean Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in South Korean Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the official vote count published by the National Election Commission of South Korea (https://www.nec.go.kr/engvote/main.jsp).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Jae-myung by 8–11% means the market gives it about 100%.