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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $40M | 0% | −4 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $15M | 0% | −2 pts | −76 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $5M | 0% | −45 pts | −90 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $60M | 0% | −2 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $100M | 0% | −1 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $80M | 0% | −2 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $200M | 0% | −3 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $120M | 0% | −2 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $160M | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $140M | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | $5M | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,000 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 169d | looppau | $5M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,549 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 169d | qwe258 | $5M | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,000 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 169d |  x.o | $5M | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,983 | +$17 +0.2% | 2 |
| 169d | ddolsw123r | $5M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,995 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 169d |  Zhangmuzhiholy | $5M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,303 | +$69 +3.0% | 2 |
| 169d | roflingbets | $5M | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$139 +10% | 2 |
| 169d | agrarward | $15M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,566 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 169d | shuangming1219 | $15M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,345 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 169d | shuangming1219 | $40M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,500 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 169d | shuangming1219 | $60M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,398 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 169d | xuejiao | $15M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,681 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 169d | xuejiao | $80M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,503 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 169d | xuejiao | $100M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,987 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | 1881aa | $15M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,733 | +$57 +3.3% | 2 |
| 170d | cxvxcvaeqwetdfgd | $40M | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | −$57 −3.9% | — |
| 170d | agrarward | $100M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,369 | +$10 +0.7% | 2 |
| 170d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | $40M | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$25 +2.1% | 2 |
| 170d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | $80M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,106 | +$36 +1.2% | 2 |
| 170d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | $60M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$10 +1.0% | 2 |
| 170d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | $100M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,177 | +$24 +1.1% | 2 |
| 170d | yulen2 fills | $40M | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,873 | +$230 +4.7% | 2 |
| 171d | dumbidiot | $40M | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,582 | +$101 +6.4% | 2 |
| 171d | dumbidiot | $60M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$43 +4.2% | 2 |
| 171d |  gghtx | $5M | SellYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,105 | +$1,105 +100% | — |
| 171d | yulen | $15M | BuyYes89¢ → 0¢ | $1,509 | −$1,509 −100% | 2 |
| 171d |  cr1mean | $5M | BuyYes91¢ → 0¢ | $1,459 | −$1,459 −100% | 2 |
| 172d | artem.varfo | $80M | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$711 +54% | 2 |
| 172d | artem.varfo | $100M | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$473 +37% | 2 |
| 177d | Guillaume-H | $5M | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,248 | −$1,248 −100% | 2 |
| 256d | Extra-Small-Skill2 fills | $60M | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | −$421 −16% | — |
| 256d | Extra-Small-Skill | $80M | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,558 | −$190 −12% | — |
| 261d |  berboche | $100M | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | −$108 −9.2% | — |
| 261d | Extra-Small-Skill | $40M | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,301 | −$586 −45% | — |
| 265d | artem.varfo | $15M | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 2 |
| 265d | artem.varfo | $40M | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,823 | −$883 −48% | — |
| 265d | monomkt | $40M | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,179 | −$1,179 −100% | 3 |
| 267d |  Scriptable2 fills | $15M | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $2,462 | −$2,462 −100% | 2 |
| 267d |  haryx | $15M | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,393 | −$1,393 −100% | 2 |
| 267d | gtt777 | $15M | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,071 | −$1,071 −100% | 2 |
| 267d | Berinando | $40M | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 2 |
| 268d |  Cointraders | $15M | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,101 | −$1,101 −100% | 2 |
| 268d | crzdog1 | $40M | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$196 +17% | 2 |
| 268d |  AnonSer | $40M | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | +$244 +18% | 2 |
| 268d | yulen | $100M | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,521 | +$82 +5.4% | 2 |
| 268d |  videlake | $60M | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$123 +12% | 2 |
| 268d | artem.varfo | $40M | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$906 +50% | 2 |
| 274d | funnyponybunny- | $40M | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $3,180 | −$3,180 −100% | 2 |
| 280d |  Tompou | $100M | SellNo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | −$1,056 −92% | — |
| 280d | Tompou | $100M | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,826 | +$374 +20% | 2 |
labistiiia1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Space's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Space (https://x.com/intodotspace) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $40M means the market gives it about 0%.