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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 12 | 100% | +2 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 1 or earlier | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 2 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 3 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 4 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| June 5 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 8 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 9 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 10 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 11 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 15 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 16 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 17 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 18 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 22 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 23 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 24 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 25 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 26 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 29 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 30 or later | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127d | Comatose | June 12 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,219 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d |  yen4u3 fills | June 12 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,795 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 128d |  Coram_Deo5 fills | June 12 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,153 | +$114 +1.6% | 20 |
| 131d |  SPMontreal | June 12 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,841 | +$39 +1.4% | 20 |
| 134d | yen4u | June 30 or later | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,228 | +$57 +2.6% | 20 |
| 134d | 0xE7ea64e9acF4427678febB7cc9BAEdf7995cDd4 | June 12 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$338 +9.7% | 20 |
dmayer53020 sharesThis market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for June 12 means the market gives it about 100%.