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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228d | niki | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,156 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | Sarcastic-Drapes | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,659 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | Rephael1 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $5,641 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | browne | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,873 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 228d |  Snow-White | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown>99¢ | $8,785 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 228d | danieleum | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,023 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 228d | Equal-Nectar | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,100 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 229d | blazecore-13 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,401 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 229d | Den077 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,301 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 229d | reuben-11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,973 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 229d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown>99¢ | $21,021 | +$21 +0.1% | 4 |
| 229d | DegenEriccro | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,762 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 229d | 4decopas | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,302 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 229d | ndc3 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,717 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 229d |  largeleeks888 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown>99¢ | $17,746 | +$18 +0.1% | 4 |
| 229d | Rephael1 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown>99¢ | $5,641 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 229d | 768543265 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $31,173 | −$79 −0.3% | — |
| 229d | maxhmz5270 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 229d | huadong1 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,152 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 229d | ZINGF | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,083 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 229d | xenonliu | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown>99¢ | $5,922 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 229d | DegenEriccro | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown>99¢ | $5,259 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 229d | 0xe617…f25110 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $66,700 | +$982 +1.5% | 4 |
| 229d | reuben-11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,103 | +$21 +1.0% | 4 |
| 229d | N3D1 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | +$16 +1.0% | 4 |
| 229d |  aleksandmoney | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,721 | −$28 −1.6% | — |
| 229d | Xgs | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $7,546 | +$76 +1.0% | 4 |
| 229d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $50,848 | +$733 +1.4% | 4 |
| 229d | huadong1 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | +$23 +2.0% | 5 |
| 229d |  Bloodwyrm | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$24 +2.0% | 5 |
| 229d |  SpikePrintf | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $2,156 | +$44 +2.0% | 5 |
| 229d | Striped-Jug2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $6,619 | +$716 +11% | 6 |
| 229d | 316SS | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$63 +2.1% | 5 |
| 229d | PRO.phet | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,196 | +$33 +1.5% | 4 |
| 229d | Equal-Nectar | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,500 | +$11 +0.4% | 4 |
| 229d | paulkplayz | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | −$23 −2.0% | — |
| 229d | Electricy2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown90¢ → 100¢ | $3,094 | +$346 +11% | 6 |
| 229d | cryptothan | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellUp6¢ → 0¢ | $2,940 | +$2,940 +100% | — |
| 229d | Sarcastic-Drapes | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $1,552 | +$108 +7.0% | 6 |
| 229d | imgone2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown83¢ → 100¢ | $12,729 | −$2,671 −21% | — |
| 229d | cryptothan2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp13¢ → 0¢ | $6,840 | −$6,840 −100% | 22 |
| 229d | TaiwanBoy-JJ | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $1,715 | +$109 +6.4% | 6 |
| 229d | Bink2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp21¢ → 0¢ | $15,298 | −$15,298 −100% | 24 |
| 229d | gmanas2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp16¢ → 0¢ | $12,596 | −$12,596 −100% | 25 |
| 229d | 7685432655 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown70¢ → 100¢ | $82,862 | +$35,779 +43% | 9 |
| 229d | edgarrk22 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp16¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 |
| 229d | DejaVieww | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown91¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$122 +10% | 6 |
| 229d | ExDeus | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $1,273 | +$157 +12% | 7 |
| 229d | GCNO1 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown85¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | +$263 +18% | 7 |
| 230d | Predictandbreathe2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp22¢ → 0¢ | $2,150 | −$2,150 −100% | 13 |
| 230d |  83.btc | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp22¢ → 0¢ | $1,076 | −$1,076 −100% | 9 |
| 230d | Ivanzovic | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown84¢ → 100¢ | $9,411 | +$1,786 +19% | 7 |
| 230d | Striped-Jug | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown79¢ → 100¢ | $3,243 | −$862 −27% | — |
| 230d | Grumpy-Recreation | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellUp22¢ → 0¢ | $1,155 | +$1,155 +100% | — |
| 230d | Newshound | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown71¢ → 100¢ | $4,571 | +$1,842 +40% | 9 |
| 230d | Lastwish3721 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellUp26¢ → 0¢ | $1,048 | +$1,048 +100% | — |
| 230d | Fumbling-Rethinking2 fills | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp26¢ → 0¢ | $2,301 | −$2,301 −100% | 13 |
| 230d | Snow-White | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp18¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 13 |
| 230d | MrMarket | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp18¢ → 0¢ | $1,435 | −$1,435 −100% | 11 |
| 230d | obamoracle - 15373 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyUp18¢ → 0¢ | $3,596 | −$3,596 −100% | 17 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 2 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on March 2 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.