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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $750 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $745 | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $740 | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $770 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $775 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95d | bot258 | $745 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,636 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 95d | SkyLove7 | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,751 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 95d |  olegs | $755 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,853 | +$113 +1.9% | 5 |
| 95d |  mrsdrfinance | $755 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,374 | +$27 +1.9% | 5 |
| 95d | cheapstox524 | $745 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,375 | +$125 +5.3% | 6 |
| 95d | loveheng | $760 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,253 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 95d | suyizi | $735 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,154 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 13?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $750 means the market gives it about 0%.