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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $740 | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $775 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $745 | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $750 | 0% | −72 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $770 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101d |  TheUltimateNash692 fills | $740 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,208 | +$42 +0.6% | 4 |
| 101d | Sinjid | $740 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,490 | +$11 +0.7% | 4 |
| 101d | selador | $760 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,374 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 101d |  VdeVolsa | $740 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,731 | +$32 +1.9% | 5 |
| 102d | kodeoed | $740 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,511 | +$117 +4.7% | 5 |
| 102d | Unfolded-Keeper | $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,164 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 102d | jjjjjsda | $740 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,734 | −$136 −7.8% | — |
| 102d | VdeVolsa | $775 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,724 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 102d | VdeVolsa | $775 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
KOMZY400 sharesS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 7?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $740 means the market gives it about 100%.