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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatiana Auguste | 100% | +32 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maxime Beaudoin | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maria Cantore | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Adrienne Charles | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Benjamin Rankin | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné | 0% | −33 pts | −39 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 186d | Hansjolly | Tatiana Auguste | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $4,995 | −$4,974 −100% | — |
| 186d | vic7 | Tatiana Auguste | SellYes>99¢ | $1,675 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 186d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,077 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 186d |  GroyperFinancialServices | Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,030 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 186d | GroyperFinancialServices | Tatiana Auguste | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,848 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 186d | Wagmi420 | Tatiana Auguste | SellYes>99¢ | $1,348 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 186d | dumbidiot | Tatiana Auguste | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,303 | +$550 +24% | 10 |
| 187d | 0xef44…5483 | Tatiana Auguste | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,647 | +$411 +25% | 10 |
| 187d | Wagmi420 | Tatiana Auguste | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$353 +35% | 10 |
| 187d | Hansjolly | Tatiana Auguste | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $8,651 | +$1,318 +15% | 10 |
| 187d | Dumplingj | Tatiana Auguste | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $7,148 | +$3,248 +45% | 20 |
| 187d | mymacbook | Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,537 | +$713 +46% | 20 |
| 188d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Benjamin Rankin | BuyNo>99¢ | $40,375 | +$40 +0.1% | 10 |
| 188d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Adrienne Charles | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,338 | +$28 +0.1% | 10 |
| 188d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Maria Cantore | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,430 | +$23 +0.1% | 10 |
| 188d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Maxime Beaudoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,593 | +$26 +0.1% | 10 |
| 191d | cocococococo | Tatiana Auguste | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$659 +61% | 12 |
| 191d | Gifted-Tomato | Tatiana Auguste | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $1,412 | +$1,190 +84% | 12 |
| 193d |  knrad | Adrienne Charles | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,350 | +$5 +0.4% | 10 |
| 207d | influenz.eth | Benjamin Rankin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 207d | influenz.eth | Adrienne Charles | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 207d | influenz.eth | Maria Cantore | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 207d | influenz.eth | Maxime Beaudoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 207d | guanda1990 | Tatiana Auguste | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | +$780 +59% | 10 |
A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tatiana Auguste means the market gives it about 100%.