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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessie Buckley | 100% | −1 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cynthia Erivo | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Renate Reinsve | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rose Byrne | 0% | +2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lucy Liu | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emma Stone | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Teyana Taylor | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gwyneth Paltrow | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Odessa A'zion | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kate Hudson | 0% | +1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chase Infiniti | 0% | +1 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Actress C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actress Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229d | BrightSpringFox | Jessie Buckley | SellYes>99¢ | $1,074 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 229d | Emma Stone | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,305 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 229d | ForFamily | Rose Byrne | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,802 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 229d | Kate Hudson | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,214 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 229d | BrightSpringFox | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$13 +1.2% | 20 |
| 230d | SplendidAmadeus | Jessie Buckley | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | −$348 −30% | — |
| 230d | Odessa A'zion | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,251 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 230d | Gwyneth Paltrow | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,426 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 232d | Lucy Liu | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,283 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 235d | Renate Reinsve | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,515 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed actress whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Jessie Buckley means the market gives it about 100%.