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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 475d |  KKchallenge | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,050 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 475d | rwo | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 475d | AreWeNotEntertained | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,313 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 475d |  thefakenick | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,997 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 475d |  Debosnys3 fills | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $24,999 | +$1,128 +4.5% | 20 |
| 475d |  scout3 fills | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $56,954 | +$57 +0.1% | 20 |
| 475d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,675 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 475d | MAGA.ONE4 fills | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $30,478 | +$167 +0.5% | 20 |
| 476d |  MajidJavadi2 fills | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,869 | −$226 −2.3% | — |
| 476d | denizz2 fills | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $23,557 | −$153 −0.7% | — |
| 476d | rwo5 fills | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,984 | +$74 +0.4% | 20 |
| 476d |  Svarbhanu | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,485 | +$10 +0.4% | 20 |
| 476d |  aenews2 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,324 | +$88 +1.2% | 20 |
| 476d |  Car4 fills | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $8,898 | +$386 +4.3% | 20 |
| 476d |  Funfzig6 fills | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $15,265 | +$722 +4.7% | 20 |
| 476d | Car | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,694 | −$403 −11% | — |
| 477d |  Dropper | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $10,296 | +$429 +4.2% | 20 |
| 477d | denizz3 fills | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $6,685 | +$1,257 +19% | 20 |
| 477d |  tourists | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,314 | −$187 −14% | — |
| 478d | PaidBettor4 fills | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $6,817 | −$1,446 −21% | — |
| 478d | PaidBettor | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,544 | +$288 +6.3% | 20 |
| 478d | Genuine-Terminal | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,351 | −$408 −30% | — |
| 479d |  just.some.guy | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,295 | −$1,295 −100% | 20 |
| 480d | Genuine-Terminal | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | +$663 +60% | 20 |
| 481d | Lielisrael | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government or military publicly and officially announces that its military operations against Iran, initiated on June 21, 2025, have concluded by Ma 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.