Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +80 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2 | Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,169 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 50d | Thanks4TheMoney | Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,477 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 50d | ScaryDream | Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | −$22 −2.0% | — |
| 50d | Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,183 | +$74 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 52d | 0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2 | Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026? | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $4,458 | −$4,458 −100% | 4 |
| 52d | Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026? | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $2,156 | −$2,156 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, or signs any bill into law, or otherwise officially renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the U.S. Board on Geographic Names (BGN) renames Lake Ontario accordingly this will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration or the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, however a consensus of credible reporting stating that the US Government has renamed Lake Ontario to "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.