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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No prison time | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1-11 months | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 12-23 months | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 24-35 months | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 36-47 months | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 48+ months | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 711d |  Master-bettor | No prison time | SellYes>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 711d | anon15656 fills | No prison time | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $51,100 | −$3,452 −6.8% | — |
| 711d | therealbatman | No prison time | BuyYes>99¢ | $48,485 | +$49 +0.1% | 20 |
| 711d |  NJinsong | No prison time | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,105 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 712d | tsekinming01 | No prison time | SellYes>99¢ | $9,950 | −$50 −0.5% | — |
| 713d | cigarettes | No prison time | SellYes100¢ | $1,218 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 714d |  Eatplantsnotanimals | No prison time | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,094 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 714d | tsekinming01 | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $32,567 | +$197 +0.6% | 20 |
| 715d |  DegenerateJanet2 fills | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,080 | +$64 +1.1% | 20 |
| 715d | sliponint | 36-47 months | SellNo>99¢ | $1,300 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 715d | sliponint | 36-47 months | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,302 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 715d | sliponint | 24-35 months | SellNo>99¢ | $1,302 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 715d | sliponint | 24-35 months | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,303 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 715d | sliponint | 12-23 months | SellNo>99¢ | $1,303 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 715d | sliponint | 12-23 months | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,304 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 715d | sliponint | 1-11 months | SellNo>99¢ | $1,304 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 715d | sliponint | 1-11 months | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,306 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 715d |  LBZcapital | 48+ months | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,386 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 716d | wokerjoesleeper | 48+ months | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,451 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 716d | wokerjoesleeper | 1-11 months | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,455 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 716d | wokerjoesleeper | 24-35 months | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,455 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 716d | wokerjoesleeper | 12-23 months | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,455 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 716d | wokerjoesleeper | 36-47 months | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,451 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 717d | GummiMummi3 fills | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $45,161 | +$453 +1.0% | 20 |
| 717d |  bosshog2 fills | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,850 | +$148 +1.2% | 20 |
| 718d |  sorcerer.023 fills | No prison time | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,530 | −$81 −1.5% | — |
| 718d |  456ythgbvcadscvb3 fills | No prison time | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,118 | −$107 −1.3% | — |
| 719d | dsy6 | No prison time | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,437 | −$23 −1.6% | — |
| 719d | dsy6 | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,447 | +$13 +0.9% | 20 |
| 719d |  ImJustKen4 fills | No prison time | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $26,968 | +$3,947 +15% | 20 |
| 721d |  Car4 fills | No prison time | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $39,563 | −$845 −2.1% | — |
| 722d | Master-bettor | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | +$30 +1.2% | 20 |
| 723d | zsac17 | No prison time | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | −$27 −2.1% | — |
| 723d | zhanga31 | No prison time | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,523 | −$31 −2.0% | — |
| 723d | zsac17 | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$12 +0.9% | 20 |
| 723d | zhanga44 | No prison time | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | −$28 −1.8% | — |
| 723d | zhanga31 | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,540 | +$14 +0.9% | 20 |
| 723d | zhanga44 | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,538 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 723d | duansi52 fills | No prison time | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,741 | −$46 −1.7% | — |
| 723d | duansi52 fills | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,760 | +$26 +1.0% | 20 |
| 723d | dsy13 | No prison time | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | −$25 −1.7% | — |
| 723d | dsy36 | No prison time | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | −$23 −1.5% | — |
| 723d | dsy13 | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,511 | +$14 +0.9% | 20 |
| 723d | dsy36 | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,534 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 723d | zsab45 | No prison time | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | −$26 −1.7% | — |
| 723d | zsab32 | No prison time | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,515 | −$26 −1.7% | — |
| 723d | zsab3 | No prison time | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | −$24 −1.6% | — |
| 723d | zsab45 | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$14 +0.9% | 20 |
| 723d | zsab32 | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | +$14 +0.9% | 20 |
| 723d | zsab3 | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,523 | +$15 +1.0% | 20 |
| 723d | sunny5022 | No prison time | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,401 | −$23 −1.6% | — |
| 723d | sunny5019 | No prison time | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,549 | −$25 −1.6% | — |
| 723d | sunny5113 | No prison time | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | −$24 −1.6% | — |
| 723d | sunny5022 | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | +$13 +0.9% | 20 |
| 723d | sunny5019 | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | +$14 +0.9% | 20 |
| 723d | sunny5113 | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | +$14 +0.9% | 20 |
| 723d | sunny5011 | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | +$13 +0.9% | 20 |
| 723d | zsac2 | No prison time | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$9 +0.9% | 20 |
| 724d | zhanga2 | No prison time | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$18 −1.7% | — |
| 724d | zhang1 | No prison time | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$18 −1.7% | — |
This is a market on the anticipated length of prison time for Trump related to his hush money sentence.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No prison time means the market gives it about 100%.