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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Evloev to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Murphy to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209d | 0x8eac…bca8 | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev>99¢ | $1,014 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 209d | Thyton | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev>99¢ | $21,717 | −$22 −0.1% | — |
| 209d |  DONKEYFISHBET | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev>99¢ | $2,597 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 209d |  copefan | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev>99¢ | $2,104 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 209d |  noob. | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev>99¢ | $1,860 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 209d | Kkaitoptrade | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev>99¢ | $4,931 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 209d |  hanbetscap | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev>99¢ | $9,291 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 209d | mohahaha | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev>99¢ | $23,083 | −$23 −0.1% | — |
| 209d | Superstonks | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev>99¢ | $1,113 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 209d |  polymolly-465 | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev99¢ → 100¢ | $13,155 | −$133 −1.0% | — |
| 209d | 0x1507…e175 | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev99¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 209d | slic | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev99¢ → 100¢ | $1,650 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 209d |  missadventure | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev99¢ → 100¢ | $7,174 | −$72 −1.0% | — |
| 209d |  solana7777 | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev99¢ → 100¢ | $1,327 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 209d | aljo1996 | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev99¢ → 100¢ | $1,297 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 209d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev79¢ → 100¢ | $1,781 | +$479 +27% | 11 |
| 209d |  UnfortunateSon2 fills | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyLerone Murphy70¢ → 0¢ | $2,592 | −$2,592 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | Random3366 | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev35¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | −$2,387 −185% | — |
| 209d | Momentumtrades2 fills | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyLerone Murphy32¢ → 0¢ | $5,151 | −$5,151 −100% | 14 |
| 209d |  SharkbettingCom2 fills | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev50¢ → 100¢ | $5,166 | +$5,187 +100% | 14 |
| 209d |  Nooserac4 fills | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyLerone Murphy64¢ → 0¢ | $14,766 | −$14,766 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | thepunterwhopunts3 fills | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev42¢ → 100¢ | $6,727 | +$9,222 +137% | 14 |
| 209d | fishyfishyfishy | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyLerone Murphy66¢ → 0¢ | $2,284 | −$2,284 −100% | 14 |
| 209d |  3648393489047 | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyLerone Murphy84¢ → 0¢ | $4,666 | −$4,666 −100% | 9 |
| 209d |  GeepaP | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellLerone Murphy82¢ → 0¢ | $2,617 | +$2,617 +100% | — |
| 209d | 6yuyurrg3 fills | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyLerone Murphy48¢ → 0¢ | $8,832 | −$8,832 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | montecarlo490 | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev44¢ → 100¢ | $2,518 | +$3,205 +127% | 14 |
| 209d | Alarming-Elevator | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyLerone Murphy36¢ → 0¢ | $2,616 | −$2,616 −100% | 17 |
| 209d | dj8d | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev66¢ → 100¢ | $1,607 | +$828 +52% | 14 |
| 209d |  obamason2 fills | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev69¢ → 100¢ | $8,270 | +$3,730 +45% | 14 |
| 209d | zahgfdd | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyLerone Murphy31¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 |
| 209d |  aestcon | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyLerone Murphy30¢ → 0¢ | $1,009 | −$1,009 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | bcda5 fills | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev71¢ → 100¢ | $172,160 | +$71,717 +42% | 14 |
| 209d |  matanovik4 fills | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyLerone Murphy30¢ → 0¢ | $6,454 | −$6,454 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | UnfortunateSon2 fills | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev71¢ → 100¢ | $4,799 | +$2,003 +42% | 14 |
| 209d | salahmh2 fills | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyLerone Murphy30¢ → 0¢ | $3,025 | −$3,025 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | infix | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev70¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$900 +43% | 14 |
| 209d | fourtyvolt | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyLerone Murphy30¢ → 0¢ | $2,347 | −$2,347 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | JigglyPuff | O/U 4.5 Rounds | BuyOver67¢ → 100¢ | $2,010 | +$990 +49% | 14 |
| 209d |  sleepy-panda | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyLerone Murphy30¢ → 0¢ | $2,405 | −$2,405 −100% | 14 |
| 209d | CharityStripe2 fills | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyLerone Murphy31¢ → 0¢ | $3,100 | −$3,100 −100% | 12 |
| 209d | fathergmit | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev70¢ → 100¢ | $1,593 | +$683 +43% | 14 |
| 209d |  berboche | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev69¢ → 100¢ | $1,562 | −$702 −45% | — |
| 209d | Arid-Hurdle | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev70¢ → 100¢ | $1,841 | +$789 +43% | 14 |
| 209d | 0x2AAb3Bdf173dA | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev70¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | +$518 +43% | 14 |
| 209d |  takezo812 | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev70¢ → 100¢ | $3,080 | +$1,320 +43% | 14 |
| 209d | Jdhdhduu | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev70¢ → 100¢ | $14,000 | +$6,000 +43% | 14 |
| 209d | mohahaha | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev70¢ → 100¢ | $16,174 | +$6,932 +43% | 12 |
| 209d |  TrentaColdBrew | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev69¢ → 100¢ | $4,140 | +$1,860 +45% | 12 |
| 209d |  Neizvestnyy | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev69¢ → 100¢ | $1,851 | +$831 +45% | 12 |
| 209d | Wannac | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyLerone Murphy31¢ → 0¢ | $5,481 | −$5,481 −100% | 12 |
| 209d | polymolly-4652 fills | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev69¢ → 100¢ | $8,366 | +$3,691 +44% | 12 |
| 209d | om7772 fills | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev70¢ → 100¢ | $26,543 | +$11,376 +43% | 12 |
| 209d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellLerone Murphy31¢ → 0¢ | $1,284 | +$1,284 +100% | — |
| 209d | ox1star84 | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev69¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$465 +45% | 12 |
| 209d | acorp | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev69¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$888 +45% | 12 |
| 209d | hanbetscap | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev69¢ → 100¢ | $6,417 | +$2,883 +45% | 12 |
| 209d | pekuluka | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | SellMovsar Evloev68¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | −$518 −47% | — |
| 209d | missadventure | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev69¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$2,246 +45% | 12 |
| 209d | Random33662 fills | Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy | BuyMovsar Evloev69¢ → 100¢ | $35,213 | +$15,821 +45% | 12 |
SCHDNATE5 shares
ShahRiazKhan5 sharesThis market will resolve to "Movsar Evloev" if Movsar Evloev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lerone Murphy at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Lerone Murphy" if Lerone Murphy is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Fight won by submission? means the market gives it about 0%.