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Polymarket wallet 0xbe3ad716e4d3210c32fdbc23127a23dc11176b7b · on Polymarket since Mar 5, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 114,741 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$719 −100% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,861 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,129 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,999 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,653 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,800 −100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,086 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 203d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes17¢ | $999 |
| 205d | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | BuyYes13¢ | $999 |
| 206d | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | BuyYes9¢ | $499 |
| 206d | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyYes16¢ | $500 |
| 206d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes16¢ | $1,000 |
| 209d | UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card) | BuyLerone Murphy36¢ | $2,616 |
| 209d | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $383 |
| 215d | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $303 |
| 215d | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $16 |
| 215d | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $16 |
| 215d | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 215d | Netanyahu out by March 31? | SellYes4¢ | $336 |
| 216d | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | BuyYes14¢ | $302 |
| 216d | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $100 |
| 216d | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BuyYes6¢ | $500 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.