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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 780d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | US bank failure before September? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,092 | +$27 +1.3% | 4 |
| 783d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | US bank failure before September? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,450 | +$50 +2.0% | 4 |
| 784d |  ImJustKen | US bank failure before September? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,314 | +$41 +3.1% | 4 |
| 785d |  sigh | US bank failure before September? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | −$54 −5.0% | — |
| 785d | Chad-Wasp | US bank failure before September? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,833 | +$80 +4.4% | 4 |
| 786d |  horatio | US bank failure before September? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | +$46 +4.2% | 4 |
| 796d |  TelegramTeleblog | US bank failure before September? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | +$115 +11% | 4 |
| 798d | Skankfest | US bank failure before September? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,836 | +$299 +16% | 4 |
| 800d |  McDonalds-Employee | US bank failure before September? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | −$180 −16% | — |
| 803d | hideo | US bank failure before September? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$232 −23% | — |
| 805d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | US bank failure before September? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | −$324 −22% | — |
| 826d |  Reini18602 fills | US bank failure before September? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,969 | +$831 +21% | 4 |
| 830d | zZQ8xU4Btx | US bank failure before September? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,423 | +$291 +20% | 4 |
| 837d |  lordprotector - 7340 | US bank failure before September? | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,002 | −$1,002 −100% | 4 |
Fantomas650 shares
teelek6 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between June 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET (according to FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within the listed date range. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's date range and FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/ however other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.