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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715d | WigglyWaffles | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,050 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 715d |  vocifer | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31? | BuyNo100¢ | $12,926 | +$65 +0.5% | 4 |
| 715d | denizz3 fills | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,463 | −$195 −1.7% | — |
| 716d |  Car2 fills | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,318 | +$15 +0.3% | 4 |
| 717d | LFC8 | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,284 | +$32 +0.6% | 4 |
| 730d | denizz7 fills | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $8,421 | +$1,494 +18% | 4 |
| 732d |  mango-lassi | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | −$90 −6.4% | — |
| 736d |  SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | −$83 −6.8% | — |
| 739d |  LucyCross | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,670 | +$124 +7.4% | 4 |
| 740d |  ImJustKen2 fills | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,516 | +$534 +21% | 4 |
| 741d | LucyCross | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | −$238 −16% | — |
| 747d | Far-Off-Erosion | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$253 +25% | 4 |
| 748d |  mr.ozi | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,346 | +$454 +34% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation is otherwise confirmed by October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this markets time frame will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the market's timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.