Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 802d | professorx | U.S. military action against Iran by Monday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,123 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 802d | PM777 | U.S. military action against Iran by Monday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 805d | JishWa | U.S. military action against Iran by Monday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,419 | +$182 +1.9% | 20 |
| 805d | tedward1112 fills | U.S. military action against Iran by Monday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,060 | +$138 +4.5% | 21 |
| 806d |  ImJustKen2 fills | U.S. military action against Iran by Monday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,531 | +$269 +2.8% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between July 30 and August 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the U.S. on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an U.S. missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.