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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 30 | 100% | +70 pts | +94 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 13 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 14 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 15 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 16 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 17 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 18 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 19 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 20 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 21 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 22 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 23 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 24 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 25 | 0% | +1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 26 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 27 | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 28 | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 29 | 0% | −36 pts | −78 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 31 | 0% | −11 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No airdrop in 2025 | 0% | −17 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 291d | roltonmeow | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,690 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | chionyuan11 | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,211 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | yamamaya | No airdrop in 2025 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,287 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | Sipstea | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,175 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | joecai | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,097 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | 321nahte | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,250 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | liamweber | No airdrop in 2025 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 291d |  PokemonSS | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,179 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | wumpyp2 | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,445 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 291d |  ZKB42 | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | czheriis | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,938 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | zoushiga | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,085 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | waawaaa | No airdrop in 2025 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | waawaaa | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $21,590 | −$22 −0.1% | — |
| 291d |  LowValue | December 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,057 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | 0xae45…cce7 | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,488 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | johnnyapple | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $27,520 | −$28 −0.1% | — |
| 291d |  UncleF19 | No airdrop in 2025 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,547 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | Flo88 | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,308 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d |  Martinmatin | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,314 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | r888 | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | 1231123123 | No airdrop in 2025 | SellNo>99¢ | $14,002 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 291d |  chungguskhan | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $120,251 | −$120 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | 0dx982z6Esv8ssdd | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $28,530 | −$29 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | antlfg | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,248 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d |  b7ewcv76we87fbx6x1356 | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,528 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | sassy34 | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,732 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | roszn | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,243 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 291d |  TruongMyLan | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | poorishly | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,448 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | Richman663 | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,494 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | chamalet | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,675 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | lchl | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,852 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | wannashort69 | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,201 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 291d |  dope-degen | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,410 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | gugugagaaa | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $22,517 | −$23 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | 0x9ece8d583ea4ae89d9896ff1cc56fc1e72278df6 | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | ShawnLayer | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,511 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 291d |  alihanyer | No airdrop in 2025 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,247 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | Mont1k | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,516 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | holytorpedo | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 291d |  bjbjs | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,309 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d |  JJo | No airdrop in 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,967 | +$33 +0.1% | 2 |
| 291d | mangotree | No airdrop in 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $40,966 | +$41 +0.1% | 2 |
| 291d | mangotree4 fills | December 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $78,311 | +$2,714 +3.5% | 2 |
| 291d |  Alphax | December 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,685 | +$24 +0.1% | 2 |
| 291d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | December 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $149,850 | +$150 +0.1% | 2 |
| 291d | vminthacked | No airdrop in 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 291d |  prescient | December 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 291d |  YURYOZ | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,069 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | nirvana16 | December 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,546 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 291d | ngggrah | December 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,235 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 291d |  bamesjond | December 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,966 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 291d |  Debosnys3 fills | December 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,425 | +$81 +0.3% | 2 |
| 291d | nijntje1 | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,450 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | 252 | December 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,716 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | Loud-Happiness | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,706 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 291d |  qwerasdfasdfasdfaasdf | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | Nihaww | December 29 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,702 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 291d | bjbjs | December 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,108 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve according to the next date Lighter performs an airdrop on. If Lighter launches a memecoin and performs an airdrop of that token within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Lighter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for December 30 means the market gives it about 100%.