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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −56 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 100% | +92 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 100% | +74 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 92,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 100% | +16 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40d | ↑ 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,797 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 40d | ↓ 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,643 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 40d | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,801 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 40d | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,279 | +$21 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 40d | 9527966 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,483 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 40d | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,019 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 40d | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 40d | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,096 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 40d | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,747 | +$44 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 40d | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,841 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 40d | Doomster | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,910 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 40d | Navigator77 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,330 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 40d | Velova | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,382 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 41d | chet010 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,250 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 41d | ↑ 84,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,357 | −$33 −1.0% | — | |
| 41d | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 41d | qianyi2026 | ↑ 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,958 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 41d | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | +$12 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 41d | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$8 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 41d | hfgdhZ | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,810 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 41d | hkjhkjh | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,266 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 41d | fgregfd | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,412 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 41d | ↑ 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 41d | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,153 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 41d | ↓ 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 41d | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,659 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 41d | qianyi2026 | ↓ 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,305 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 41d | ↓ 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,335 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 41d | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,335 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 41d | Worse-Haunt | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,279 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 41d | duneprod1 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,913 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | lan008 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,418 | +$9 +0.6% | 2 |
| 42d | hotero001 | ↑ 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,066 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 42d | Worse-Haunt | ↓ 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,776 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 42d | Worse-Haunt | ↓ 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $14,589 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 42d | gtresgsfd | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,419 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | gdfsgrew | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,585 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | ghfdcgh | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,679 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | treyhrftg | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,391 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | YGHTREHGFDS | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,404 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | Full-Waterfall | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,349 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | Unhappy-Guava | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,327 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | oihjiohj | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,298 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | jhvkhjvkv | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,275 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | hbkhbuik | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,337 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | sergHRTDFJFXJJR | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,511 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 42d | sergHRTDFJFXJJR | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | ESGGESTDFJFXJJR | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,378 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 42d | fdxhdrthTDFJFXJJR | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,289 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 42d | elrah | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 42d | Wont-u-sing-w-me | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,641 | +$53 +3.2% | 2 |
| 42d | Xgs | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,338 | +$43 +3.2% | 2 |
| 42d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | ↑ 86,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | −$16 −1.4% | — |
| 42d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$17 +1.4% | 2 |
| 42d | lan008 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$29 +2.7% | 2 |
| 43d | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,341 | +$19 +1.4% | 2 | |
| 43d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04525 fills | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $15,239 | +$1,149 +7.5% | 2 |
| 43d | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$23 +2.1% | 2 | |
| 43d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,962 | +$128 +2.6% | 2 |
| 43d | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,759 | +$13 +0.7% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit August 31-September 6?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 76,000 means the market gives it about 0%.