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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 92,000 | 0% | — | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −55 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 94,000 | 0% | — | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 96,000 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 100,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 98,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 84,000 | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d |  Facaie | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,285 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d | lee886 | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$16 +1.6% | 2 |
| 5d |  Tttyh | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,876 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d |  gangwarharshit | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,217 | +$86 +2.7% | 2 |
| 5d | gangwarharshit | ↓ 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,902 | −$12 −0.3% | — |
| 5d | Navigator77 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,064 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 5d | Navigator77 | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$15 +0.4% | 2 |
| 5d | Baristas | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,249 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 6d | Doomster | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 6d | Facaie | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,691 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,266 | +$94 +4.2% | 2 |
| 6d | Rin2x | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 6d | trx1 | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,699 | +$22 +1.3% | 2 |
| 6d |  olegs | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,982 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 6d | olegs | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,538 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 6d | YautjaPM2 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,867 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6d | Candela | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6d | Glennraven | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,496 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6d | YautjaPM2 | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6d | THEELK | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$27 +2.7% | 2 |
| 6d | poweragain2 fills | ↑ 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,945 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6d | mingxyz | ↓ 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,066 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 6d | nicoco | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 6d | nicoco | ↓ 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,005 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 6d | WeedMann90 | ↓ 80,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,902 | −$99 −3.4% | — |
| 7d | nearping | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 7d | Vort3xhz | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$8 +0.8% | 2 |
| 7d | yaokan | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,625 | +$18 +1.1% | 2 |
| 7d | Candela | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,494 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 7d | Candela | ↑ 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 7d | Facaie | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,135 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 7d | Facaie2 fills | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,269 | +$15 +0.7% | 2 |
| 7d | Facaie4 fills | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,220 | +$69 +0.8% | 2 |
| 7d |  TCBY6688 | ↓ 76,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 7d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04525 fills | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $9,454 | +$1,249 +13% | 2 |
| 7d | nicoco | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 7d | Worse-Haunt2 fills | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,682 | +$203 +1.7% | 2 |
| 8d |  GoodLuck68886 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,722 | +$53 +3.1% | 2 |
| 8d | beatyesterday3 fills | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,644 | +$51 +1.4% | 2 |
| 8d | lihai | ↑ 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 8d | yaokan4 fills | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,090 | +$137 +1.4% | 2 |
| 8d |  boyau3 fills | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $3,927 | −$3,927 −100% | 12 |
| 8d | Worse-Haunt | ↓ 74,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,818 | −$98 −1.1% | — |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $14,790 | +$947 +6.4% | 2 |
| 8d | TCBY6688 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,405 | +$38 +2.7% | 2 |
| 8d | chet010 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | +$41 +3.3% | 2 |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $13,557 | +$497 +3.7% | 2 |
| 8d | beheo123 | ↓ 80,000 | SellYes41¢ → 0¢ | $3,204 | +$3,204 +100% | — |
| 8d | badluckeveryday | ↓ 78,000 | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | −$310 −16% | — |
| 8d | Untimely-Kiwi | ↑ 94,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,745 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 8d | beheo123 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $6,549 | −$6,549 −100% | 2 |
| 9d | poweragain | ↑ 100,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,140 | −$12 −0.3% | — |
| 9d | nearping2 fills | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 9d | Well-To-Do-Sanctity4 fills | ↓ 80,000 | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $6,660 | +$6,660 +100% | — |
| 9d | beatyesterday | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,681 | +$18 +1.1% | 2 |
| 9d | WeedMann902 fills | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $2,609 | +$1,398 +54% | 3 |
| 9d | duneprod1 | ↓ 82,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,784 | +$170 +3.6% | 2 |
| 9d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 82,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$95 +8.7% | 2 |
| 9d |  justdance | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,950 | +$222 +7.5% | 2 |
| 9d | Worse-Haunt | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,946 | +$44 +2.2% | 2 |
wAliens1,736 shares
Garibaldi43b1,148 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 80,000 means the market gives it about 0%.