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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 138,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 136,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 118,000 | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 116,000 | 100% | +85 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 128,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 120,000 | 100% | +67 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 114,000 | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 130,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 110,000 | 100% | +98 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 112,000 | 100% | +97 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 132,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 134,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 122,000 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 126,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 369d | pppaa | ↑ 136,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,482 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 369d | OLOTH | ↑ 128,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,796 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d | Abdoulay | ↑ 128,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,933 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d |  Nik- | ↑ 128,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,044 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d |  White.Monster | ↑ 130,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d | OLOTH | ↑ 130,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,694 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 369d | AZwater2 fills | ↑ 128,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,949 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | Bitcoinunicorn59 fills | ↑ 138,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $480,172 | +$481 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | Grzybomir5 fills | ↑ 138,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $33,067 | +$33 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | Slater8610 fills | ↑ 138,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $82,118 | −$82 −0.1% | — |
| 370d | gfht55 | ↑ 132,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,236 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | Bitcoinunicorn10 fills | ↑ 138,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $82,118 | −$82 −0.1% | — |
| 370d | Slater8654 fills | ↑ 138,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $446,273 | +$447 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | nonkenny90 | ↑ 136,000 | SellNo100¢ | $1,490 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 370d |  GregSharp | ↑ 134,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | GregSharp | ↑ 136,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,392 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | PeterHo8 fills | ↑ 136,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $31,968 | −$32 −0.1% | — |
| 370d | AlexanderLin8 fills | ↑ 136,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $31,968 | −$32 −0.1% | — |
| 370d | SEgg45 fills | ↑ 138,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $180,962 | +$181 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | AVTV18 fills | ↑ 138,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $71,528 | +$72 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | pppaa | ↑ 136,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,482 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | DeltaZ53 fills | ↑ 136,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $237,086 | −$712 −0.3% | — |
| 370d | YoungZhu53 fills | ↑ 136,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $237,085 | −$713 −0.3% | — |
| 370d | Bliden | ↑ 130,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,679 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | tamokadubai | ↑ 136,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,249 | −$11 −0.5% | — |
| 370d | tamokadubai | ↑ 136,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,328 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | DOWN-UP26 fills | ↑ 138,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $105,438 | +$106 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | Ethan-00768 fills | ↑ 138,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $300,909 | +$301 +0.1% | 2 |
| 370d | AlphaGo.bar67 fills | ↑ 138,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $296,468 | +$297 +0.1% | 2 |
blockfields12,264 shares
BigOddsPlayer5,000 shares
EmmanuelQuimby12 shares
MiniMan2 shares
RegalZelene11 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit October 6-12?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 138,000 means the market gives it about 0%.