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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72d | kke1f | ↑ 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,030 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 72d |  Facaie | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,346 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 72d |  meowmers | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,399 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 72d | Mizukaze | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,218 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 72d |  Tttyh2 fills | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,882 | +$25 +0.1% | 2 |
| 72d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,175 | +$227 +1.5% | 2 |
| 72d | Facaie | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,925 | +$75 +1.5% | 2 |
| 72d |  yen4u | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,087 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 72d | Advanced-Cormorant | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | +$23 +1.5% | 2 |
| 72d |  walnascar | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 72d | Ugly-Armour | ↑ 65,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,124 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 72d | Ugly-Armour | ↑ 65,000 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,562 | +$562 +22% | 3 |
| 72d |  justdance2 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $2,811 | +$1,514 +54% | 4 |
| 72d | strengthinnumbers | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 72d | Navigator77 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | +$16 +0.9% | 2 |
| 72d | Navigator77 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 72d | Navigator77 | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 72d | Navigator77 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 72d | Embellished-Cruise | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,530 | +$20 +0.3% | 2 |
| 72d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,008 | +$43 +2.2% | 2 |
| 72d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,581 | +$399 +5.3% | 2 |
| 72d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,101 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 73d | CentralCasting | ↑ 65,000 | SellNo37¢ → 0¢ | $1,110 | +$1,110 +100% | — |
| 73d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyYes41¢ → 100¢ | $2,430 | +$3,570 +147% | 6 |
wowohaha1,000 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on August 5?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 66,000 means the market gives it about 0%.